DHS Emerging Risk - Survey 1 Cyber

Generic Clearance for the Collection of Qualitative Feedback on Agency Service Delivery

DHS Emerging Risk - Survey 1 Cyber

OMB: 1601-0014

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Your participation is requested in a risk assessment survey on: Cyber Attacks on
Physical Infrastructure.
DHS is applying Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) to prioritize emerging
risks to the Homeland. Your responses will be used to rank 12 emerging risks. This
survey is part of a larger effort to assist DHS in evaluating methodologies for
characterizing and ranking emerging risks.
This survey is completely voluntary, and you can opt out of the entire survey or
portions of it at any time.
This survey is not classified or confidential. Only the MITRE team will have access
to individual responses; they will summarize the raw data and provide DHS with
only summarized results that are not attributable to any one of the respondents.
The deadline for completion of this survey is August 28, 2020.

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If you have any questions about this survey, please contact the MITRE Project
Leader, Gabriella Nicastro, at gabriella@mitre.org.
Block 1
This is the survey on: Cyber Attacks on Physical Infrastructure
Cyber Attacks on Physical Infrastructure is defined as: An attempt by third
parties, possibly adversaries, to damage or destroy a computer network or system,
to damage the infrastructure controlled by the system, or gain access to
unauthorized information.
THREAT
Likelihood of Occurrence Within Several Possible Timeframes
Please rate the likelihood that a threat from Cyber Attacks on Physical
Infrastructure will occur within each timeframe below.
Percent Likelihood
0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

In the next year
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Percent Likelihood
0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

In the next five
years
In the next 10
years
In the next 20
years

Likelihood of Origination
Rate the likelihood that an adversary would be able to obtain and use Cyber
Attacks on Physical Infrastructure to cause harm in the next five years, assuming
Cyber Attacks on Physical Infrastructure exists.
0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Next five years

Ability to Anticipate
A threat from Cyber Attacks on Physical Infrastructure could be anticipated in a
timeframe that would enable effective risk management.
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Strongly disagree
Somewhat disagree
Neither agree nor disagree
Somewhat agree
Strongly agree

Capacity for Mitigation
Capacity for mitigation is the ability to apply a complete and diverse range of
techniques to reduce the adverse effects of, or prevent the occurrence of, a
potential threat event. This could include implementing policies, procedures, or
preventive actions like education and monitoring.
The US Government has capacity for mitigation of threat from Cyber Attacks on
Physical Infrastructure.
Strongly disagree
Somewhat disagree
Neither agree nor disagree
Somewhat agree
Strongly agree

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DHS has capacity for mitigation of threat from Cyber Attacks on Physical
Infrastructure.
Strongly disagree
Somewhat disagree
Neither agree nor disagree
Somewhat agree
Strongly agree

VULNERABILITY
Vulnerabilities in Information Domain
An information domain vulnerability is a weakness in the information system that
creates a threat opportunity. Such vulnerabilities may include those in data security,
information use and processing, or internal controls. Information domain
vulnerabilities may result in loss of data, altered data, intellectual property theft, or
other negative outcomes.
Cyber Attacks on Physical Infrastructure will exploit or create vulnerabilities in the
information domain.
Strongly disagree
Somewhat disagree
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Neither agree nor disagree
Somewhat agree
Strongly agree

Vulnerabilities in Physical Domain
A physical domain vulnerability is a weakness in a system’s infrastructure that, if
disrupted, could result in its destruction or failure.
Cyber Attacks on Physical Infrastructure will exploit vulnerabilities in the physical
domain.
Strongly disagree
Somewhat disagree
Neither agree nor disagree
Somewhat agree
Strongly agree

Vulnerabilities in Social Domain
A social domain vulnerability is a weakness within the human component of a
critical system, that, if exploited, could result in significant damage to the system.
Cyber Attacks on Physical Infrastructure will exploit vulnerabilities in the social
domain.
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Strongly disagree
Somewhat disagree
Neither agree nor disagree
Somewhat agree
Strongly agree

CONSEQUENCES
Economic Impact
Economic impact includes economic depression, recession, monetary cost to the
government, trade disruption, or rise in unemployment.
The economic impact of an occurrence of Cyber Attacks on Physical
Infrastructure would be:
Not at all severe
Slightly severe
Somewhat severe
Moderately severe
Extremely severe

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Environmental Impact
Environmental impact is an adverse change to the ecosystem as a direct or indirect
result of human actions.
The environmental impact of an occurrence of Cyber Attacks on Physical
Infrastructure would be:
Not at all severe
Slightly severe
Somewhat severe
Moderately severe
Extremely severe

Health Impact and Fatalities
Health impact and fatalities includes human death, injury, or sickness, or stress on
medical facilities.
Health impacts and fatalities resulting from an occurrence of Cyber Attacks on
Physical Infrastructure would be:
Not at all severe
Slightly severe
Somewhat severe
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Moderately severe
Extremely severe

The number of fatalities resulting from an occurrence of Cyber Attacks on Physical
Infrastructure would be:
0-999 individuals
1,000-9,999 individuals
10,000-99,999 individuals
100,000-999,999 individuals
More than 1,000,000 individuals

The number of persons injured or made ill by an occurrence of Cyber Attacks on
Physical Infrastructure would be:
0-999 individuals
1,000-9,999 individuals
10,000-99,999 individuals
100,000-999,999 individuals
More than 1,000,000 individuals

Social Impact
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Social impact includes direct effects within the Homeland such as loss of
confidence in government, civil unrest, scapegoating, and hunger.
The social impact of a threat event from Cyber Attacks on Physical
Infrastructure would be:
Not at all severe
Slightly severe
Somewhat severe
Moderately severe
Extremely severe

RESILIENCE
Ability to Adapt
Ability to adapt refers to the capability to adjust to new conditions.
Once a threat event from Cyber Attacks on Physical Infrastructure occurs, the
United States' ability to adapt would be easy.
Strongly disagree
Somewhat disagree
Neither agree nor disagree
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Somewhat agree
Strongly agree

Ability to Recover

After the occurrence of a threat event from Cyber Attacks on Physical
Infrastructure, what is the time required to return to a normal condition or state?
Less than 1 year
1 to 5 years
6 to 10 years
11 to 20 years
Over 20 years or never

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