Statistical Sampling Methods

0593Ren15 statistical sampling methods.docx

NMFS Observer Programs' Information That Can Be Gathered Only Through Questions

Statistical Sampling Methods

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Summary of Statistical Methods Used by Observer Programs


























































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Program


Coverage, sample size, or precision target

Mandatory



Sampling Frame



Vessel Selection Method


Alaska Fisheries Science Center, North Pacific Groundfish and Halibut Observer Program (NPGHOP).

50 CFR 679Subpart E


Catch and bycatch in all North Pacific groundfish and halibut fisheries is monitored inseason to support quota management. The groundfish fleet is divided into four sectors by vessel size and processing mode (Catcher Processors (CPs) or Catcher Vessels (CVs delivering to processing plants), each with different requirements for observer coverage.



NPGHOP, Zero Selection sector


Catcher Vessels <40 ft

0%

N

None


Vessels < 40 ft not included in sampling frame for logistical reasons.

No vessel selection


No list of vessels or permits but information about landings from tickets.

NPGHOP, Partial Coverage Sector


Small vessel trip-selection: This pool is comprised of catcher vessels that are fishing hook-and-line or pot gear and are greater than or equal to 40 ft Length Overall (LOA), but less than 57.5 ft LOA

Anticipated selection probabilities = 12%

1 observer per trip

Y

Vessels greater than or equal to 40ft but less than 57.5ft LOA.

NMFS will use an internet based program called the Observer Declare and Deploy System (http://odds.afsc.noaa.gov) to randomly select vessels and assign observers to vessels.


NMFS will grant conditional releases in the small vessel category under two scenarios: 1) vessels with insufficient life-raft capacity to accommodate an observer, or 2) vessels that are not released due to insufficient life-raft capacity shall be released from observer coverage on their third trip if it is consecutive to two previously observed trips (i.e., two trips in a row were observed, resulting in the third trip being released from coverage).


NPGHOP Partial Coverage Sector


Large vessel trip-selection: This pool comprises three classes of vessels: 1) all catcher vessels fishing trawl gear, 2) catcher vessels fishing hook-and-line or pot gear that are also greater than or equal to 57.5 ft LOA, and 3) catcher-processor vessels exempted from full coverage requirements.


Trawl vessels that fish for Pacific cod in the BSAI will be given the opportunity to opt-in to full observer coverage and carry an observer at all times when fishing in the BSAI


Trawl vessels participating in the GOA Rockfish Fishery switch over to the 100% full coverage sector.


Anticipated selection probabilities = 24%

1 observer per trip

Y

Vessels greater than or equal to 57.5ft

NMFS will use an internet based program called the Observer Declare and Deploy System (http://odds.afsc.noaa.gov) to randomly select vessels and to assign observers to vessels


NMFS will grant conditional releases in the small vessel category under two scenarios: 1) vessels with insufficient life-raft capacity to accommodate an observer, or 2) vessels that are not released due to insufficient life-raft capacity shall be released from observer coverage on their third trip if it is consecutive to two previously observed trips (i.e., two trips in a row were observed, resulting in the third trip being released from coverage).

NPGHOP, 100% Sector


Fleet:

Vessels LOA 125 ft;

79 bottom trawl catcher vessels; 55 longline vessels; variable trip length


100%

1 observer per trip

Y

NPGHOP vessels in the sector listed

Census

NPGHOP, 200% Sector


Fleet:

Vessels LOA 125 ft;

26-32 C/P bottom trawl and longline vessels; ~12 C/P vessels in the Atka mackerel fishery; 2 week + trip length

100%,

2 observers per trip

Y

NPGHOP vessels in the sector listed

Census



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Alaska Regional Office, Alaska Marine Mammal Observer Program (AMMOP) 50 CFR 229.7

AMMOP

5%

Y

Permit holders by stratified area

Randomly generated list

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Program


Coverage, sample size, or precision target

Mandatory


Sampling Frame



Vessel Selection method


Northwest Fisheries Science Center, West Coast Groundfish Observer Program (WCGOP) 50 CFR 660, Subpart C

WCGOP Groundfish Catch Share – IFQ program


Fleet:

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138 permits; 107 deemed active; groundfish bottom trawl; shoreside pelagic hake trawl, at-sea mothership catcher vessel pelagic hake trawl, and groundfish fixed gear vessels (longline and fish pots); 15 bottom trawl and fixed gear vessels in EM EFP, and 22 mid-water whiting vessels in EM EFP

100% observer coverage. For vessels participating under Electronic Monitoring (EM) Exempted Fishing Permits (EFP), target coverage is 25% for non-whiting vessels. No observer coverage on whiting vessels with EM.

Y

All vessels participating in the fishery.

Census



WCGOP - Limited-Entry Sablefish-Endorsed Fixed Gear



Fleet:

164 active permits; vessels can have > 1 permit; longline and fish pots

40% of Federal permits with landings from each port group are selected for coverage. Selection cycle is defined as one calendar year. Fishery operates from April-October.

Y

All active permits based on Federal permit list and previous year’s landings

Stratified random sampling without replacement;

Port-groups form strata

At-Sea Hake Observer Program (ASHOP)


Fleet:

9 catcher-processor and 7 mothership limited entry permits;

Pelagic trawl for Pacific hake


100% observer coverage,

2 observers per vessel

Y

All active catcher- processors and motherships based on Federal permit list.

Census





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Program


Coverage, sample size, or precision target

Mandatory



Sampling Frame



Vessel Selection method

West Coast Regional Office 50 CFR 660 Subpart K (660.712 and 713)

California/Oregon Drift Gillnet Fishery


Fleet: 20 active vessels; 7-10 day trips

~30% of sets

Y

Fleet listed; based on State permits

Vessels are selected at time of trip notification, dependent on their recent coverage and observer availability. 

West Coast Longline


Fleet: up to 6 vessels; 20-40 day trips

20-100%

Y

All Active Vessels

20-100% depending on number of active vessels.







Pacific Islands Regional Office 50 CFR 665 Subparts B and C

American Samoa Longline


26 Longline vessels; average trip length 40 days

20% (tuna)

Y

Fleet listed; Based on Federal permits

15% vessel selection, combined with separate 5% daily vessel selection to obtain 20% coverage level

Hawaii Longline


Fleet:

123 tuna, 32 swordfish; 28 tuna and swordfish; pelagic line; 15-25 day trips (tuna); 25-35 day trips (swordfish)

100% (swordfish)

Y

Fleet listed; based on Federal permits

Census

~20% (tuna)

Y

Fleet listed; based on Federal permits

15% vessel selection, combined with separate 5% daily vessel selection to obtain 20% coverage level

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Program



Coverage, sample size, or precision target

Mandatory



Sampling Frame



Vessel Selection method


Northeast Fisheries Science Center 50 CFR Part 648.11

Northeast Multispecies Groundfish


Fleet:

>2,274 vessels; multiple gears: gillnets (anchored, drift, float, sink), trawl (mid- water, bottom, purse seine), longline; 1-7 day trips typically; Federal and state permits

Target 30% coefficient variation (CV) for bycatch estimates of protected species;

Special Access Areas Standardized Bycatch Reporting Method-ology (SBRM) Omnibus Amendment allocation

Y

Fleet lists based on Federal permits (vessels with multi-species permits)

Quarterly stratified random sample; SBRM fleet sectors form strata

Northeast Sector Managed Groundfish


Fleet:

>2,274 vessels; multiple gears: gillnets (anchored, drift, float, sink), trawl (mid- water, bottom, purse seine), longline; 1-7 day trips typically; Federal and state permits

Target 30% CV for bycatch estimates of protected species;

Coverage 24% of trips

Y

Fleet lists based on Federal permits

Quarterly stratified random sample; SBRM fleet sectors form strata

Mid Atlantic Fisheries


Fleet:

>1,112 vessels; multiple gears: gillnets (anchored, drift, float, sink), trawl (mid- water, bottom, purse seine); 1-4 day trips typically;

Federal and state permits

Coverage typically < 5% SBRM Omnibus Amendment allocation

Y

Fleet lists based on Federal permits (New York – North Carolina)

Quarterly stratified random sample for a portion of the fleet; SBRM fleet sectors form strata

Atlantic Sea Scallop Dredge Fishery


Fleet:

>745 vessels with GC and LA permits; multiple gears: primarily scallop dredge, some trawl; 1-12 day trips typically; VMS requirement; Federal permit

*Mid Atlantic Access Area at 14% for Limited Access (LA)  and 9% for Limited Access General Category (LAGC)


*Open areas are 11% for both LA and LAGC



Y

Pre-trip notification required

Stratified random sample




Program


Coverage, sample size, or precision target

Mandatory


Sampling Frame



Vessel Selection method


Southeast Fisheries Science Center: Shrimp, reef fish, coastal gillnet: 50 CFR 622, 27, .52, .178, .204, .300.

Shark bottomfish longline and pelagic longline: 50 CFR 635.7

Shrimp Trawl


Fleet: ~1,984 Federally permitted vessels; LOA ~ 75 ft; ~ 18 day trips Gulf of Mexico target 80% of total sea days; year-around; ~6 day trips on the east coast target 20% of total sea days.

~2% coverage, Target sample of 1,500 sea-days variable depending on funding.

Y

Federally- Permitted Vessels

Stratified random sample by effort, area, season, depth strata based on Gulf Shrimp System (trip tickets)

Reef Fish


Fleet: ~877 Federally permitted vessels; gear types include bottom longline, electric reel (bandit) and handlines

~5% coverage, sea days variable depending on funding

Y

Federally- Permitted Vessels

Stratified random sample by region gear, and season based on previous year’s effort from coastal logbooks

Southeast Coastal Gillnet


Fleet:50-60 vessels; multiple gill net types

100% coverage (Nov 15 - Apr 1) for drift and strike boats targeting shark;

Otherwise target of 30% Relative Standard Error (RSE) for turtle or mammal interaction estimates.

Y

Fleet

Census; stratified random sample

Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico Shark Bottom Longline Fishery


Fleet:207 permitted vessels; LOA < 50 ft; 500-1,500 hooks per line

100 % in shark research fishery


4-6% for non-shark research fishery

Y

Fleet listed as determined by Federal permits from the previous year.

Stratified random sample by area and season based on previous year’s vessel activity

Pelagic Longline


Fleet: 80-100 active vessel w/ swordfish, tuna,

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and shark permits; 3-14 day trips 150-200 mi off-shore typical; some 20-40 day trips 200-1,000 mi from port

8% of sets target, ~6% mean actual coverage

Y

Fleet listed as determined by Federal permits from the previous year.

Stratified random sample by statistical area and quarter based on previous years

activity

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