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pdfProspective Plantings
ISSN: 1949-159X
Released March 28, 2013, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of
Agriculture (USDA).
Update Alert – March 28, 2013
Wyoming and United States sugarbeet area planted estimates for 2013 on pages 18, 24, and 26 were
corrected.
Corn Planted Acreage Up Slightly from 2012
Soybean Acreage Down Slightly
All Wheat Acreage Up 1 Percent
All Cotton Acreage Down 19 Percent
Corn growers intend to plant 97.3 million acres of corn for all purposes in 2013, up slightly from last year and 6 percent
higher than in 2011. If realized, this will represent the highest planted acreage in the United States since 1936 when an
estimated 102 million acres were planted.
Soybean planted area for 2013 is estimated at 77.1 million acres, down slightly from last year but the fourth highest on
record, if realized. Compared with 2012, planted area is down across the Great Plains with the exception of North Dakota.
Nebraska and Minnesota are expecting the largest declines compared with last year, while Illinois and North Dakota are
expecting the largest increases.
All wheat planted area for 2013 is estimated at 56.4 million acres, up 1 percent from 2012. The 2013 winter wheat
planted area, at 42.0 million acres, is 2 percent above last year and up slightly from the previous estimate. Of this total,
about 28.9 million acres are Hard Red Winter, 9.67 million acres are Soft Red Winter, and 3.39 million acres are White
Winter. Area planted to other spring wheat for 2013 is expected to total 12.7 million acres, up 3 percent from 2012. Of
this total, about 12.1 million acres are Hard Red Spring wheat. The intended Durum planted area for 2013 is estimated at
1.75 million acres, down 18 percent from the previous year.
All cotton planted area for 2013 is expected to total 10.0 million acres, 19 percent below last year. Upland area is
expected to total 9.82 million acres, down 19 percent from 2012. American Pima area is expected to total 206,000 acres,
down 14 percent from 2012.
This report was approved on March 28, 2013.
Acting Secretary of
Agriculture
Michael T. Scuse
2
Agricultural Statistics Board
Chairperson
Hubert Hamer
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Contents
Corn Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 ..................................................................................................... 6
Corn and Soybean Planted Acreage – United States Chart..................................................................................................... 7
Sorghum Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 .............................................................................................. 7
Oat Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 ....................................................................................................... 8
Barley Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 .................................................................................................. 9
All Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 .......................................................................................... 10
Winter Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 .................................................................................... 11
Durum Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 .................................................................................... 12
Other Spring Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 ........................................................................... 12
All Hay Area Harvested – States and United States: 2011-2013 .......................................................................................... 13
Rice Area Planted by Class – States and United States: 2011-2013 ..................................................................................... 14
Canola Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013................................................................................................ 14
Soybean Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 ............................................................................................. 15
Peanut Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 ................................................................................................ 15
Sunflower Area Planted by Type – States and United States: 2011-2013 ............................................................................ 16
Flaxseed Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 ............................................................................................. 16
Cotton Area Planted by Type – States and United States: 2011-2013 .................................................................................. 17
Sugarbeet Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 ........................................................................................... 18
Tobacco Area Harvested – States and United States: 2011-2013 ......................................................................................... 18
Tobacco Area Harvested by Class and Type – States and United States: 2011-2013 .......................................................... 19
Dry Edible Bean Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 ................................................................................ 20
Chickpea (Garbanzo Bean) Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 ............................................................... 21
Lentil Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 ................................................................................................. 22
Dry Edible Pea Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 .................................................................................. 22
Austrian Winter Pea Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 .......................................................................... 22
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
3
Spring Potato Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 ..................................................................................... 23
Sweet Potato Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013 ...................................................................................... 23
Crop Area Planted and Harvested – United States: 2012 and 2013 (Domestic Units) ......................................................... 24
Crop Yield and Production – United States: 2012 and 2013 (Domestic Units) .................................................................... 25
Crop Area Planted and Harvested – United States: 2012 and 2013 (Metric Units) .............................................................. 26
Crop Yield and Production – United States: 2012 and 2013 (Metric Units)......................................................................... 27
Winter Weather Summary .................................................................................................................................................... 28
Crop Comments .................................................................................................................................................................... 29
Statistical Methodology......................................................................................................................................................... 33
Reliability of Prospective Plantings Planted Acreage Estimates .......................................................................................... 34
Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................. 35
4
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
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Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
5
Corn Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area planted
State
2011
(1,000 acres)
Percent of
previous year
2013 1
2012
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Alabama ..............................
Arizona ................................
Arkansas ..............................
California .............................
Colorado ..............................
Connecticut ..........................
Delaware .............................
Florida ..................................
Georgia ................................
Idaho ....................................
270
60
560
630
1,500
27
190
70
345
350
310
75
710
610
1,420
27
185
75
345
360
330
85
1,000
560
1,250
27
180
80
495
380
106
113
141
92
88
100
97
107
143
106
Illinois ...................................
Indiana .................................
Iowa .....................................
Kansas .................................
Kentucky ..............................
Louisiana .............................
Maine ...................................
Maryland ..............................
Massachusetts .....................
Michigan ..............................
12,600
5,900
14,100
4,900
1,380
580
29
500
17
2,500
12,800
6,250
14,200
4,700
1,650
540
30
495
16
2,650
12,200
6,100
14,200
4,600
1,600
600
30
470
16
2,600
95
98
100
98
97
111
100
95
100
98
Minnesota ............................
Mississippi ...........................
Missouri ...............................
Montana ...............................
Nebraska .............................
Nevada ................................
New Hampshire ...................
New Jersey ..........................
New Mexico .........................
New York .............................
8,100
810
3,300
77
9,850
8
15
90
130
1,100
8,750
820
3,600
105
10,000
8
14
95
125
1,170
9,000
1,050
3,400
115
9,900
8
14
100
130
1,200
103
128
94
110
99
100
100
105
104
103
North Carolina ......................
North Dakota ........................
Ohio .....................................
Oklahoma ............................
Oregon .................................
Pennsylvania .......................
Rhode Island ........................
South Carolina .....................
South Dakota .......................
Tennessee ...........................
870
2,230
3,400
380
83
1,420
2
360
5,200
790
860
3,600
3,900
360
85
1,460
1
330
6,150
1,040
890
4,100
3,950
340
85
1,480
1
345
5,900
970
103
114
101
94
100
101
100
105
96
93
Texas ...................................
Utah .....................................
Vermont ...............................
Virginia .................................
Washington ..........................
West Virginia ........................
Wisconsin ............................
Wyoming ..............................
2,050
85
90
490
195
48
4,150
105
1,850
92
91
510
185
51
4,350
105
2,100
95
92
520
190
49
4,350
105
114
103
101
102
103
96
100
100
United States .......................
91,936
97,155
97,282
100
1
6
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Corn and Soybean Planted Acreage - United States
Million acres
100.0
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
Corn
Soybeans
50.0
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
Sorghum Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area planted
State
2011
(1,000 acres)
Percent of
previous year
2013 1
2012
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Arizona ................................
Arkansas .............................
Colorado ..............................
Georgia ...............................
Illinois ..................................
Kansas ................................
Louisiana .............................
Mississippi ...........................
Missouri ...............................
Nebraska .............................
22
100
220
50
22
2,600
130
52
40
150
31
140
245
55
30
2,500
125
48
65
145
25
170
330
65
30
2,900
125
45
110
220
81
121
135
118
100
116
100
94
169
152
New Mexico .........................
Oklahoma ............................
South Dakota .......................
Texas ..................................
95
300
150
1,550
90
270
200
2,300
90
280
230
3,000
100
104
115
130
United States .......................
5,481
6,244
7,620
122
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
7
Oat Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
[Includes area planted in preceding fall]
Area planted
State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Alabama ..............................
Arkansas ..............................
California .............................
Colorado ..............................
Georgia ................................
Idaho ....................................
Illinois ...................................
Indiana .................................
Iowa .....................................
Kansas .................................
45
15
200
45
60
70
30
15
120
60
60
12
230
55
60
70
30
15
130
105
50
11
200
65
60
55
40
15
120
90
83
92
87
118
100
79
133
100
92
86
Maine ...................................
Michigan ..............................
Minnesota ............................
Missouri ...............................
Montana ...............................
Nebraska .............................
New York .............................
North Carolina ......................
North Dakota ........................
Ohio .....................................
28
40
180
15
45
60
55
45
170
50
29
50
190
20
45
75
70
40
200
70
32
60
170
25
53
135
85
35
260
50
110
120
89
125
118
180
121
88
130
71
Oklahoma ............................
Oregon .................................
Pennsylvania .......................
South Carolina .....................
South Dakota .......................
Texas ...................................
Utah .....................................
Virginia .................................
Washington ..........................
Wisconsin ............................
Wyoming ..............................
35
35
90
22
120
550
35
11
10
210
30
75
35
100
28
160
500
30
11
15
220
30
40
40
80
21
190
600
35
9
20
225
30
53
114
80
75
119
120
117
82
133
102
100
United States .......................
2,496
2,760
2,901
105
1
8
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Barley Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
[Includes area planted in preceding fall]
Area planted
State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Arizona ................................
California .............................
Colorado ..............................
Delaware .............................
Idaho ...................................
Kansas ................................
Maine ..................................
Maryland ..............................
Michigan ..............................
Minnesota ............................
65
100
66
35
520
9
16
50
10
70
48
120
58
38
610
10
17
60
11
115
70
90
60
33
620
16
17
65
10
90
146
75
103
87
102
160
100
108
91
78
Montana ..............................
New York .............................
North Carolina .....................
North Dakota .......................
Oregon ................................
Pennsylvania .......................
South Dakota .......................
Utah .....................................
Virginia ................................
Washington .........................
Wisconsin ............................
Wyoming .............................
700
10
22
400
38
65
25
35
90
125
33
75
900
10
23
1,060
56
65
34
44
65
185
33
75
1,000
15
21
950
60
75
30
40
67
185
45
75
111
150
91
90
107
115
88
91
103
100
136
100
United States .......................
2,559
3,637
3,634
100
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
9
All Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
[Includes area planted in preceding fall]
Area planted
State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Alabama ..............................
Arizona ................................
Arkansas ..............................
California .............................
Colorado ..............................
Delaware .............................
Florida ..................................
Georgia ................................
Idaho ....................................
Illinois ...................................
220
87
620
790
2,345
80
12
250
1,471
800
220
115
550
750
2,363
85
20
290
1,313
660
260
76
710
700
2,217
80
23
400
1,318
830
118
66
129
93
94
94
115
138
100
126
Indiana .................................
Iowa .....................................
Kansas .................................
Kentucky ..............................
Louisiana .............................
Maryland ..............................
Michigan ..............................
Minnesota ............................
Mississippi ...........................
Missouri ...............................
430
22
8,800
540
240
260
700
1,580
360
790
350
18
9,500
580
285
310
570
1,390
370
790
470
40
9,300
680
240
330
590
1,400
400
1,100
134
222
98
117
84
106
104
101
108
139
Montana ...............................
Nebraska .............................
Nevada ................................
New Jersey ..........................
New Mexico .........................
New York .............................
North Carolina ......................
North Dakota ........................
Ohio .....................................
Oklahoma ............................
5,100
1,520
23
35
435
120
700
6,800
880
5,100
5,770
1,380
26
33
450
100
830
7,840
500
5,400
5,480
1,450
28
38
420
125
960
7,650
630
5,400
95
105
108
115
93
125
116
98
126
100
Oregon .................................
Pennsylvania .......................
South Carolina .....................
South Dakota .......................
Tennessee ...........................
Texas ...................................
Utah .....................................
Virginia .................................
Washington ..........................
West Virginia ........................
Wisconsin ............................
Wyoming ..............................
990
185
190
2,908
420
5,300
151
270
2,380
10
345
150
885
165
235
2,405
420
5,700
155
280
2,210
8
265
150
890
200
240
2,358
550
5,700
161
290
2,230
11
320
145
101
121
102
98
131
100
104
104
101
138
121
97
United States .......................
54,409
55,736
56,440
101
1
Intended plantings for 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
10
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Winter Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
[Includes area planted in preceding fall]
Area planted
State
2011
2012
2013
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Alabama ..............................
Arizona ................................
Arkansas .............................
California .............................
Colorado ..............................
Delaware .............................
Florida .................................
Georgia ...............................
Idaho ...................................
Illinois ..................................
220
7
620
670
2,300
80
12
250
820
800
220
10
550
610
2,350
85
20
290
780
660
260
11
710
610
2,200
80
23
400
780
830
118
110
129
100
94
94
115
138
100
126
Indiana ................................
Iowa .....................................
Kansas ................................
Kentucky ..............................
Louisiana .............................
Maryland ..............................
Michigan ..............................
Minnesota ............................
Mississippi ...........................
Missouri ...............................
430
22
8,800
540
240
260
700
30
360
790
350
18
9,500
580
285
310
570
40
370
790
470
40
9,300
680
240
330
590
50
400
1,100
134
222
98
117
84
106
104
125
108
139
Montana ..............................
Nebraska .............................
Nevada ................................
New Jersey ..........................
New Mexico .........................
New York .............................
North Carolina .....................
North Dakota .......................
Ohio .....................................
Oklahoma ............................
2,250
1,520
15
35
435
120
700
400
880
5,100
2,300
1,380
20
33
450
100
830
750
500
5,400
2,100
1,450
20
38
420
125
960
350
630
5,400
91
105
100
115
93
125
116
47
126
100
Oregon ................................
Pennsylvania .......................
South Carolina .....................
South Dakota .......................
Tennessee ...........................
Texas ..................................
Utah .....................................
Virginia ................................
Washington .........................
West Virginia .......................
Wisconsin ............................
Wyoming .............................
830
185
190
1,650
420
5,300
130
270
1,760
10
345
150
790
165
235
1,320
420
5,700
140
280
1,700
8
265
150
800
200
240
1,250
550
5,700
145
290
1,740
11
320
145
101
121
102
95
131
100
104
104
102
138
121
97
United States .......................
40,646
41,324
41,988
102
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
11
Durum Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
[Includes area planted in preceding fall in Arizona and California]
Area planted
State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Arizona ................................
California .............................
Idaho ....................................
Montana ...............................
North Dakota ........................
South Dakota .......................
80
120
11
400
750
8
105
140
13
520
1,340
5
65
90
8
480
1,100
8
62
64
62
92
82
160
United States .......................
1,369
2,123
1,751
82
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Other Spring Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area planted
State
2011
(1,000 acres)
Percent of
previous year
2013 1
2012
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Colorado ..............................
Idaho ....................................
Minnesota ............................
Montana ...............................
Nevada ................................
North Dakota ........................
Oregon .................................
South Dakota .......................
Utah .....................................
Washington ..........................
45
640
1,550
2,450
8
5,650
160
1,250
21
620
13
520
1,350
2,950
6
5,750
95
1,080
15
510
17
530
1,350
2,900
8
6,200
90
1,100
16
490
131
102
100
98
133
108
95
102
107
96
United States .......................
12,394
12,289
12,701
103
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
12
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
All Hay Area Harvested – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area harvested
State
2011
(1,000 acres)
Percent of
previous year
2013 1
2012
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Alabama ..............................
Arizona ................................
Arkansas .............................
California .............................
Colorado ..............................
Connecticut .........................
Delaware .............................
Florida .................................
Georgia ...............................
Idaho ...................................
800
285
1,400
1,410
1,620
60
15
260
590
1,350
860
295
1,450
1,550
1,460
58
16
320
580
1,340
850
290
1,490
1,450
1,410
58
18
290
560
1,330
99
98
103
94
97
100
113
91
97
99
Illinois ..................................
Indiana ................................
Iowa .....................................
Kansas ................................
Kentucky ..............................
Louisiana .............................
Maine ..................................
Maryland ..............................
Massachusetts .....................
Michigan ..............................
540
670
1,140
2,400
2,310
430
132
220
74
1,000
580
630
1,140
2,750
2,380
460
130
205
69
970
600
630
1,100
2,750
2,250
450
130
200
69
960
103
100
96
100
95
98
100
98
100
99
Minnesota ............................
Mississippi ...........................
Missouri ...............................
Montana ..............................
Nebraska .............................
Nevada ................................
New Hampshire ...................
New Jersey ..........................
New Mexico .........................
New York .............................
1,830
720
3,750
2,700
2,480
450
53
105
280
1,340
1,750
750
3,660
2,200
2,570
415
52
105
285
1,560
1,720
710
3,800
2,700
2,700
415
51
105
305
1,550
98
95
104
123
105
100
98
100
107
99
North Carolina .....................
North Dakota .......................
Ohio .....................................
Oklahoma ............................
Oregon ................................
Pennsylvania .......................
Rhode Island .......................
South Carolina .....................
South Dakota .......................
Tennessee ...........................
775
2,480
1,120
2,500
1,030
1,450
9
300
3,550
1,880
662
2,190
1,100
3,190
1,000
1,420
8
250
3,100
1,765
640
2,400
1,000
3,000
1,000
1,420
8
220
3,100
1,625
97
110
91
94
100
100
100
88
100
92
Texas ..................................
Utah .....................................
Vermont ...............................
Virginia ................................
Washington .........................
West Virginia .......................
Wisconsin ............................
Wyoming .............................
3,700
760
175
1,370
780
640
1,600
1,120
5,100
660
185
1,305
780
630
1,450
875
5,200
650
175
1,200
840
620
1,380
1,000
102
98
95
92
108
98
95
114
United States .......................
55,653
56,260
56,419
100
1
Intended area harvested in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
13
Rice Area Planted by Class – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area planted
Class and State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Long grain
Arkansas ..............................
California .............................
Louisiana .............................
Mississippi ...........................
Missouri ...............................
Texas ...................................
940
7
375
160
137
175
1,175
6
375
130
176
132
1,120
5
400
120
158
130
95
83
107
92
90
98
United States .......................
1,794
1,994
1,933
97
Medium grain
Arkansas ..............................
California .............................
Louisiana .............................
Missouri ...............................
Texas ...................................
255
535
48
6
7
115
500
27
4
3
105
490
20
2
5
91
98
74
50
167
United States .......................
851
649
622
96
Short grain
Arkansas ..............................
California 2 ...........................
1
43
1
55
1
55
100
100
United States .......................
44
56
56
100
All
Arkansas ..............................
California .............................
Louisiana .............................
Mississippi ...........................
Missouri ...............................
Texas ...................................
1,196
585
423
160
143
182
1,291
561
402
130
180
135
1,226
550
420
120
160
135
95
98
104
92
89
100
United States .......................
2,689
2,699
2,611
97
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
2
Includes sweet rice.
Canola Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area planted
State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Idaho ....................................
Minnesota ............................
Montana ...............................
North Dakota ........................
Oklahoma ............................
Oregon .................................
Washington ..........................
19.0
29.0
31.0
860.0
100.0
5.3
10.5
38.0
31.0
51.0
1,460.0
140.0
7.3
15.0
45.0
21.0
57.0
1,230.0
240.0
13.0
25.0
118
68
112
84
171
178
167
Other States 2 ......................
16.7
22.7
22.7
100
United States .......................
1,071.5
1,765.0
1,653.7
94
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
2
Other States include Colorado and Kansas. The 2013 estimate is carried forward from 2012. First 2013 estimate for Other States will be published in
Acreage released June 2013.
14
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Soybean Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area planted
State
2011
(1,000 acres)
Percent of
previous year
2013 1
2012
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Alabama ..............................
Arkansas .............................
Delaware .............................
Florida .................................
Georgia ...............................
Illinois ..................................
Indiana ................................
Iowa .....................................
Kansas ................................
Kentucky ..............................
300
3,330
170
18
155
8,950
5,300
9,350
4,000
1,490
340
3,200
170
21
220
9,050
5,150
9,350
4,000
1,480
410
3,250
170
25
280
9,400
5,100
9,400
3,900
1,500
121
102
100
119
127
104
99
101
98
101
Louisiana .............................
Maryland ..............................
Michigan ..............................
Minnesota ............................
Mississippi ...........................
Missouri ...............................
Nebraska .............................
New Jersey ..........................
New York .............................
North Carolina .....................
1,020
470
1,950
7,100
1,830
5,350
4,900
88
280
1,380
1,130
480
2,000
7,050
1,970
5,400
5,050
96
315
1,590
1,110
480
2,100
6,800
1,950
5,300
4,700
90
320
1,580
98
100
105
96
99
98
93
94
102
99
North Dakota .......................
Ohio .....................................
Oklahoma ............................
Pennsylvania .......................
South Carolina .....................
South Dakota .......................
Tennessee ...........................
Texas ..................................
Virginia ................................
West Virginia .......................
Wisconsin ............................
4,000
4,550
440
500
370
4,100
1,290
165
560
20
1,620
4,750
4,600
420
530
380
4,750
1,260
125
590
21
1,710
4,900
4,650
410
560
370
4,600
1,360
120
570
21
1,700
103
101
98
106
97
97
108
96
97
100
99
United States .......................
75,046
77,198
77,126
100
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Peanut Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area planted
State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Alabama ..............................
Florida .................................
Georgia ...............................
Mississippi ...........................
New Mexico .........................
North Carolina .....................
Oklahoma ............................
South Carolina .....................
Texas ..................................
Virginia ................................
170.0
170.0
475.0
15.0
6.6
82.0
24.0
77.0
105.0
16.0
220.0
210.0
735.0
52.0
10.0
107.0
24.0
110.0
150.0
20.0
150.0
190.0
475.0
22.0
6.0
80.0
24.0
90.0
140.0
14.0
68
90
65
42
60
75
100
82
93
70
United States .......................
1,140.6
1,638.0
1,191.0
73
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
15
Sunflower Area Planted by Type – States and United States: 2011-2013
Varietal type
and State
Area planted
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Oil
California .............................
Colorado ..............................
Kansas .................................
Minnesota ............................
Nebraska .............................
North Dakota ........................
Oklahoma ............................
South Dakota .......................
Texas ...................................
40.0
110.0
115.0
28.0
38.0
510.0
4.5
415.0
29.0
48.0
75.0
70.0
38.0
33.0
770.0
4.0
580.0
40.0
50.0
55.0
65.0
32.0
30.0
540.0
4.0
580.0
43.0
104
73
93
84
91
70
100
100
108
United States .......................
1,289.5
1,658.0
1,399.0
84
Non-oil
California .............................
Colorado ..............................
Kansas .................................
Minnesota ............................
Nebraska .............................
North Dakota ........................
Oklahoma ............................
South Dakota .......................
Texas ...................................
4.0
18.0
19.0
12.0
21.0
70.0
0.5
70.0
39.0
2.8
11.0
17.0
11.0
8.5
90.0
0.7
65.0
55.0
3.0
12.0
27.0
13.0
13.0
96.0
1.0
70.0
50.0
107
109
159
118
153
107
143
108
91
United States .......................
253.5
261.0
285.0
109
All
California .............................
Colorado ..............................
Kansas .................................
Minnesota ............................
Nebraska .............................
North Dakota ........................
Oklahoma ............................
South Dakota .......................
Texas ...................................
44.0
128.0
134.0
40.0
59.0
580.0
5.0
485.0
68.0
50.8
86.0
87.0
49.0
41.5
860.0
4.7
645.0
95.0
53.0
67.0
92.0
45.0
43.0
636.0
5.0
650.0
93.0
104
78
106
92
104
74
106
101
98
United States .......................
1,543.0
1,919.0
1,684.0
88
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Flaxseed Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area planted
State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Minnesota ............................
Montana ...............................
North Dakota ........................
South Dakota .......................
3
17
150
8
3
18
315
8
4
11
250
7
133
61
79
88
United States .......................
178
344
272
79
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
16
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Cotton Area Planted by Type – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area planted
Type and State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Upland
Alabama ..............................
Arizona ................................
Arkansas .............................
California .............................
Florida .................................
Georgia ...............................
Kansas ................................
Louisiana .............................
Mississippi ...........................
Missouri ...............................
460.0
250.0
680.0
182.0
122.0
1,600.0
80.0
295.0
630.0
375.0
380.0
200.0
595.0
142.0
108.0
1,290.0
56.0
230.0
475.0
350.0
360.0
160.0
270.0
90.0
115.0
1,300.0
40.0
170.0
270.0
270.0
95
80
45
63
106
101
71
74
57
77
New Mexico .........................
North Carolina .....................
Oklahoma ............................
South Carolina .....................
Tennessee ...........................
Texas ..................................
Virginia ................................
70.0
805.0
415.0
303.0
495.0
7,550.0
116.0
46.0
585.0
305.0
299.0
380.0
6,550.0
86.0
30.0
450.0
160.0
290.0
280.0
5,500.0
65.0
65
77
52
97
74
84
76
United States .......................
14,428.0
12,077.0
9,820.0
81
American Pima
Arizona ................................
California .............................
New Mexico .........................
Texas ..................................
10.0
274.0
3.4
20.0
3.0
225.0
2.4
8.0
1.0
190.0
4.0
11.0
33
84
167
138
United States .......................
307.4
238.4
206.0
86
All
Alabama ..............................
Arizona ................................
Arkansas .............................
California .............................
Florida .................................
Georgia ...............................
Kansas ................................
Louisiana .............................
Mississippi ...........................
Missouri ...............................
460.0
260.0
680.0
456.0
122.0
1,600.0
80.0
295.0
630.0
375.0
380.0
203.0
595.0
367.0
108.0
1,290.0
56.0
230.0
475.0
350.0
360.0
161.0
270.0
280.0
115.0
1,300.0
40.0
170.0
270.0
270.0
95
79
45
76
106
101
71
74
57
77
New Mexico .........................
North Carolina .....................
Oklahoma ............................
South Carolina .....................
Tennessee ...........................
Texas ..................................
Virginia ................................
73.4
805.0
415.0
303.0
495.0
7,570.0
116.0
48.4
585.0
305.0
299.0
380.0
6,558.0
86.0
34.0
450.0
160.0
290.0
280.0
5,511.0
65.0
70
77
52
97
74
84
76
United States .......................
14,735.4
12,315.4
10,026.0
81
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
17
Sugarbeet Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
[Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except California]
Area planted
State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
2
California ...........................
Colorado ..............................
Idaho ....................................
Michigan ..............................
Minnesota ............................
Montana ...............................
Nebraska .............................
North Dakota ........................
Oregon .................................
Wyoming ..............................
25.2
29.4
176.0
153.0
479.0
45.0
52.3
231.0
10.9
31.0
24.5
31.2
183.0
154.0
475.0
46.6
51.0
222.0
11.0
31.8
24.5
29.1
176.0
154.0
460.0
44.2
43.8
230.0
10.5
29.0
100
93
96
100
97
95
86
104
95
91
United States .......................
1,232.8
1,230.1
1,201.1
98
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from processors.
2
Relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central California and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern
California.
Tobacco Area Harvested – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area harvested
State
2011
(acres)
Percent of
previous year
2013 1
2012
(acres)
(acres)
(percent)
Connecticut ..........................
Georgia ................................
Kentucky ..............................
Massachusetts .....................
North Carolina ......................
Ohio .....................................
Pennsylvania .......................
South Carolina .....................
Tennessee ...........................
Virginia .................................
2,070
11,900
77,500
570
162,300
1,600
9,700
15,500
22,000
21,900
(D)
10,000
87,200
(D)
166,100
1,900
9,600
12,000
23,900
23,080
(D)
11,000
91,500
(D)
172,100
2,000
8,900
15,000
21,900
24,180
(X)
110
105
(X)
104
105
93
125
92
105
Other States 2 ......................
(X)
2,450
3,050
124
United States .......................
325,040
336,230
349,630
104
(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations.
(X) Not applicable.
1
Intended area harvested in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
2
Includes data withheld above.
18
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Tobacco Area Harvested by Class and Type – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area harvested
State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(acres)
(acres)
(acres)
(percent)
Class 1, Flue-cured (11-14)
Georgia ..............................................................................
North Carolina ....................................................................
South Carolina ....................................................................
Virginia ...............................................................................
11,900
160,000
15,500
19,500
10,000
164,000
12,000
20,000
11,000
170,000
15,000
22,000
110
104
125
110
United States ......................................................................
206,900
206,000
218,000
106
Class 2, Fire-cured (21-23)
Kentucky .............................................................................
Tennessee ..........................................................................
Virginia ...............................................................................
9,100
6,900
400
9,000
6,900
380
9,500
6,900
280
106
100
74
United States ......................................................................
16,400
16,280
16,680
102
Class 3A, Light air-cured
Type 31, Burley
Kentucky .........................................................................
North Carolina ................................................................
Ohio ................................................................................
Pennsylvania ..................................................................
Tennessee ......................................................................
Virginia ...........................................................................
64,000
2,300
1,600
5,000
14,000
2,000
74,000
2,100
1,900
4,700
16,000
2,700
78,000
2,100
2,000
5,100
14,000
1,900
105
100
105
109
88
70
United States ..................................................................
88,900
101,400
103,100
102
Type 32, Southern Maryland
Pennsylvania ..................................................................
3,000
2,900
2,000
69
Total light air-cured (31-32) ..............................................
91,900
104,300
105,100
101
Class 3B, Dark air-cured (35-37)
Kentucky .............................................................................
Tennessee ..........................................................................
4,400
1,100
4,200
1,000
4,000
1,000
95
100
United States ......................................................................
5,500
5,200
5,000
96
Class 4, Cigar filler
Pennsylvania ..................................................................
1,700
2,000
1,800
90
Class 5, Cigar binder
Type 51, Connecticut Valley Broadleaf
Connecticut .....................................................................
Massachusetts ................................................................
1,350
440
1,600
300
(D)
(D)
(X)
(X)
United States ..................................................................
1,790
1,900
(D)
(X)
Class 6, Cigar wrapper
Type 61, Connecticut Valley Shade-grown
Connecticut .....................................................................
Massachusetts ................................................................
720
130
(D)
(D)
(D)
(D)
(X)
(X)
United States ..................................................................
850
550
(D)
(X)
Other cigar types (51-61) ..................................................
(X)
(X)
3,050
(NA)
Total cigar types (41-61) ...................................................
4,340
4,450
4,850
109
All tobacco
United States ......................................................................
325,040
336,230
349,630
104
(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations.
(NA) Not available.
(X) Not applicable.
1
Intended area harvested in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
19
Dry Edible Bean Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
[Excludes beans grown for garden seed]
Area planted
State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Arizona ................................
California .............................
Colorado ..............................
Idaho ....................................
Kansas .................................
Michigan ..............................
Minnesota ............................
Montana ...............................
Nebraska .............................
New Mexico .........................
8.5
57.5
38.0
95.0
6.5
170.0
140.0
15.0
110.0
12.5
13.5
58.5
50.0
145.0
8.0
200.0
160.0
32.0
145.0
9.8
12.0
49.0
40.0
130.0
6.0
190.0
150.0
25.0
130.0
10.0
89
84
80
90
75
95
94
78
90
102
New York .............................
North Dakota ........................
Oregon .................................
South Dakota .......................
Texas ...................................
Washington ..........................
Wisconsin ............................
Wyoming ..............................
12.0
410.0
6.4
10.2
9.0
77.0
5.3
35.0
10.0
700.0
10.5
13.0
22.0
115.0
5.2
45.0
8.0
550.0
9.0
13.0
19.0
115.0
5.0
39.0
80
79
86
100
86
100
96
87
United States .......................
1,217.9
1,742.5
1,500.0
86
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
20
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Chickpea (Garbanzo Bean) Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
[Chickpea acres included with dry bean acres]
Area planted
Size and State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
2
Small chickpeas
Idaho ..........................................
Montana .....................................
North Dakota ..............................
Oregon .......................................
South Dakota ..............................
Washington ................................
17.5
(D)
3.0
(D)
8.0
32.5
(D)
5.4
(D)
(D)
15.0
24.0
(D)
7.0
(D)
(D)
20.0
74
(X)
130
(X)
(X)
133
Other States 3 .............................
8.4
16.6
16.0
96
United States ..............................
36.9
69.5
67.0
96
Large chickpeas
California ....................................
Idaho ..........................................
Montana .....................................
North Dakota ..............................
Oregon .......................................
South Dakota ..............................
Washington ................................
10.5
33.5
(D)
1.7
0.7
(D)
48.0
11.1
43.5
(D)
6.6
(D)
(D)
64.5
10.8
49.0
(D)
5.0
(D)
(D)
70.0
97
113
(X)
76
(X)
(X)
109
Other States 3 .............................
4.5
12.7
12.5
98
United States ..............................
98.9
138.4
147.3
106
All chickpeas (Garbanzo)
California ....................................
Idaho ..........................................
Montana .....................................
North Dakota ..............................
Oregon .......................................
South Dakota ..............................
Washington ................................
10.5
51.0
9.0
4.7
0.7
3.9
56.0
11.1
76.0
23.0
12.0
1.8
4.5
79.5
10.8
73.0
21.0
12.0
2.5
5.0
90.0
97
96
91
100
139
111
113
United States ..............................
135.8
207.9
214.3
103
4
- Represents zero.
(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations.
(X) Not applicable.
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
2
Chickpeas (or Garbanzo beans) smaller than 20/64 inches.
3
Includes data withheld above.
4
Chickpeas (or Garbanzo beans) larger than 20/64 inches.
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
21
Lentil Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area planted
State
2011
(1,000 acres)
Percent of
previous year
2013 1
2012
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Idaho ....................................
Montana ...............................
North Dakota ........................
Washington ..........................
28.0
260.0
80.0
60.0
33.0
205.0
160.0
65.0
20.0
120.0
140.0
55.0
61
59
88
85
United States .......................
428.0
463.0
335.0
72
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Dry Edible Pea Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area planted
State
2011
(1,000 acres)
Percent of
previous year
2013 1
2012
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Idaho ....................................
Montana ...............................
North Dakota ........................
Oregon .................................
Washington ..........................
16.0
190.0
85.0
5.0
66.0
27.0
315.0
235.0
7.0
65.0
35.0
425.0
320.0
5.0
65.0
130
135
136
71
100
United States .......................
362.0
649.0
850.0
131
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Austrian Winter Pea Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area planted
State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Idaho ....................................
Montana ...............................
Oregon .................................
6.0
10.0
2.0
5.5
11.0
2.5
6.0
10.0
3.0
109
91
120
United States .......................
18.0
19.0
19.0
100
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
22
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Spring Potato Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area planted
State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Spring
Arizona ................................
California .............................
Florida .................................
Hastings area 2 ................
Other areas 2 ...................
North Carolina .....................
Texas 3 ................................
3.8
28.1
36.4
23.4
13.0
17.0
8.0
4.0
29.5
37.0
23.5
13.5
16.5
9.8
4.0
25.0
30.9
(NA)
(NA)
15.0
(NA)
100
85
84
(X)
(X)
91
(X)
United States .......................
93.3
96.8
74.9
77
(NA) Not available.
(X) Not applicable.
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
2
Estimates discontinued in 2013.
3
Beginning in 2013, Spring estimates included in Summer total for Texas.
Sweet Potato Area Planted – States and United States: 2011-2013
Area planted
State
2011
2012
2013 1
Percent of
previous year
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(percent)
Alabama ..............................
Arkansas .............................
California .............................
Florida .................................
Louisiana .............................
Mississippi ...........................
New Jersey ..........................
North Carolina .....................
Texas ..................................
2.6
3.6
18.5
3.3
14.0
24.0
1.3
65.0
1.3
2.7
4.0
18.0
6.4
10.0
24.0
1.3
63.0
1.1
2.5
4.0
18.0
6.4
9.0
22.0
1.3
58.0
1.1
93
100
100
100
90
92
100
92
100
United States .......................
133.6
130.5
122.3
94
1
Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
23
Crop Area Planted and Harvested – United States: 2012 and 2013 (Domestic Units)
[Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2013 crop year.
Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Crop
Area planted
Area harvested
2012
2013
2012
2013
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
Grains and hay
Barley .................................................................................
Corn for grain 1 ....................................................................
Corn for silage ....................................................................
Hay, all ................................................................................
Alfalfa ..............................................................................
All other ...........................................................................
Oats ....................................................................................
Proso millet .........................................................................
Rice ....................................................................................
Rye .....................................................................................
Sorghum for grain 1 .............................................................
Sorghum for silage ..............................................................
Wheat, all ............................................................................
Winter .............................................................................
Durum .............................................................................
Other spring ....................................................................
3,637
97,155
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
2,760
335
2,699
1,300
6,244
(NA)
55,736
41,324
2,123
12,289
3,634
97,282
Oilseeds
Canola ................................................................................
Cottonseed .........................................................................
Flaxseed .............................................................................
Mustard seed ......................................................................
Peanuts ..............................................................................
Rapeseed ...........................................................................
Safflower .............................................................................
Soybeans for beans ............................................................
Sunflower ............................................................................
1,765.0
(X)
344
51.1
1,638.0
2.2
169.8
77,198
1,919.0
1,653.7
(X)
272
Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops
Cotton, all ...........................................................................
Upland ............................................................................
American Pima ................................................................
Sugarbeets .........................................................................
Sugarcane ..........................................................................
Tobacco ..............................................................................
12,315.4
12,077.0
238.4
1,230.1
(NA)
(NA)
10,026.0
9,820.0
206.0
1,201.1
Dry beans, peas, and lentils
Austrian winter peas ...........................................................
Dry edible beans .................................................................
Dry edible peas ...................................................................
Lentils .................................................................................
Wrinkled seed peas ............................................................
19.0
1,742.5
649.0
463.0
(NA)
19.0
1,500.0
850.0
335.0
Potatoes and miscellaneous
Coffee (Hawaii) ...................................................................
Hops ...................................................................................
Peppermint oil .....................................................................
Potatoes, all ........................................................................
Spring .............................................................................
Summer ..........................................................................
Fall ..................................................................................
Spearmint oil .......................................................................
Sweet potatoes ...................................................................
Taro (Hawaii) 2 ....................................................................
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
1,148.3
96.8
49.8
1,001.7
(NA)
130.5
(NA)
(NA)
2,901
2,611
7,620
56,440
41,988
1,751
12,701
1,191.0
77,126
1,684.0
(NA)
74.9
122.3
3,244
87,375
7,379
56,260
17,292
38,968
1,045
205
2,678
248
4,955
363
48,991
34,834
2,102
12,055
56,419
1,729.0
(X)
336
49.7
1,608.0
2.1
160.1
76,104
1,841.0
9,426.8
9,190.0
236.8
1,204.2
896.0
336.2
349.6
13.7
1,690.4
621.0
450.0
(NA)
6.1
31.9
76.0
1,132.7
94.6
48.5
989.6
20.0
126.6
0.4
(NA) Not available.
(X) Not applicable.
1
Area planted for all purposes.
2
Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acres.
24
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Yield and Production – United States: 2012 and 2013 (Domestic Units)
[Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2013 crop year.
Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Crop
Yield per acre
2012
Production
2013
2012
2013
(1,000)
(1,000)
Grains and hay
Barley ................................................................................... bushels
Corn for grain ........................................................................ bushels
Corn for silage ............................................................................ tons
Hay, all ....................................................................................... tons
Alfalfa ..................................................................................... tons
All other .................................................................................. tons
Oats ...................................................................................... bushels
Proso millet ........................................................................... bushels
Rice 1 ........................................................................................... cwt
Rye ....................................................................................... bushels
Sorghum for grain ................................................................. bushels
Sorghum for silage ...................................................................... tons
Wheat, all ............................................................................. bushels
Winter ............................................................................... bushels
Durum ............................................................................... bushels
Other spring ...................................................................... bushels
67.9
123.4
15.4
2.13
3.01
1.74
61.3
15.1
7,449
28.0
49.8
11.4
46.3
47.2
39.0
45.0
220,284
10,780,296
113,450
119,878
52,049
67,829
64,024
3,090
199,479
6,944
246,932
4,135
2,269,117
1,645,202
81,956
541,959
Oilseeds
Canola ................................................................................... pounds
Cottonseed ................................................................................. tons
Flaxseed ............................................................................... bushels
Mustard seed ......................................................................... pounds
Peanuts ................................................................................. pounds
Rapeseed .............................................................................. pounds
Safflower ............................................................................... pounds
Soybeans for beans .............................................................. bushels
Sunflower .............................................................................. pounds
1,416
(X)
17.1
602
4,192
2,205
1,121
39.6
1,513
2,447,410
5,759.0
5,762
29,930
6,741,400
4,630
179,424
3,014,998
2,785,695
Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops
Cotton, all 1 ............................................................................... bales
Upland 1 ................................................................................ bales
American Pima 1 ................................................................... bales
Sugarbeets ................................................................................. tons
Sugarcane .................................................................................. tons
Tobacco ................................................................................. pounds
866
849
1,540
29.3
35.9
2,268
17,009.9
16,250.0
759.9
35,236
32,179
762,441
Dry beans, peas, and lentils
Austrian winter peas 1 .................................................................. cwt
Dry edible beans 1 ....................................................................... cwt
Dry edible peas 1 ......................................................................... cwt
Lentils 1 ........................................................................................ cwt
Wrinkled seed peas ..................................................................... cwt
1,219
1,889
1,751
1,178
(NA)
167
31,925
10,872
5,302
406
Potatoes and miscellaneous
Coffee (Hawaii) ...................................................................... pounds
Hops ...................................................................................... pounds
Peppermint oil ........................................................................ pounds
Potatoes, all ................................................................................. cwt
Spring ...................................................................................... cwt
Summer ................................................................................... cwt
Fall .......................................................................................... cwt
Spearmint oil ......................................................................... pounds
Sweet potatoes ............................................................................ cwt
Taro (Hawaii) ......................................................................... pounds
1,180
1,918
87
412
283
368
427
120
209
(NA)
7,200
61,249.2
6,605
467,126
26,736
17,855
422,535
2,390
26,482
3,400
(NA) Not available.
(X) Not applicable.
1
Yield in pounds.
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
25
Crop Area Planted and Harvested – United States: 2012 and 2013 (Metric Units)
[Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2013 crop year.
Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Crop
Area planted
Area harvested
2012
2013
2012
2013
(hectares)
(hectares)
(hectares)
(hectares)
Grains and hay
Barley .................................................................................
Corn for grain 1 ....................................................................
Corn for silage ....................................................................
Hay, all 2 .............................................................................
Alfalfa ..............................................................................
All other ...........................................................................
Oats ....................................................................................
Proso millet .........................................................................
Rice ....................................................................................
Rye .....................................................................................
Sorghum for grain 1 .............................................................
Sorghum for silage ..............................................................
Wheat, all 2 .........................................................................
Winter .............................................................................
Durum .............................................................................
Other spring ....................................................................
1,471,860
39,317,660
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
1,116,940
135,570
1,092,260
526,100
2,526,880
(NA)
22,555,800
16,723,410
859,160
4,973,240
1,470,640
39,369,050
Oilseeds
Canola ................................................................................
Cottonseed .........................................................................
Flaxseed .............................................................................
Mustard seed ......................................................................
Peanuts ..............................................................................
Rapeseed ...........................................................................
Safflower .............................................................................
Soybeans for beans ............................................................
Sunflower ............................................................................
714,280
(X)
139,210
20,680
662,880
890
68,720
31,241,260
776,600
669,240
(X)
110,080
Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops
Cotton, all 2 .........................................................................
Upland ............................................................................
American Pima ................................................................
Sugarbeets .........................................................................
Sugarcane ..........................................................................
Tobacco ..............................................................................
4,983,920
4,887,440
96,480
497,810
(NA)
(NA)
4,057,420
3,974,060
83,370
486,070
Dry beans, peas, and lentils
Austrian winter peas ...........................................................
Dry edible beans .................................................................
Dry edible peas ...................................................................
Lentils .................................................................................
Wrinkled seed peas ............................................................
7,690
705,170
262,640
187,370
(NA)
7,690
607,040
343,990
135,570
Potatoes and miscellaneous
Coffee (Hawaii) ...................................................................
Hops ...................................................................................
Peppermint oil .....................................................................
Potatoes, all 2 ......................................................................
Spring .............................................................................
Summer ..........................................................................
Fall ..................................................................................
Spearmint oil .......................................................................
Sweet potatoes ...................................................................
Taro (Hawaii) 3 ....................................................................
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
464,710
39,170
20,150
405,380
(NA)
52,810
(NA)
(NA)
1,174,010
1,056,650
3,083,740
22,840,700
16,992,120
708,610
5,139,970
481,990
31,212,120
681,500
(NA)
30,310
49,490
1,312,810
35,359,790
2,986,210
22,767,860
6,997,900
15,769,960
422,900
82,960
1,083,760
100,360
2,005,240
146,900
19,826,170
14,096,970
850,660
4,878,540
22,832,210
699,710
(X)
135,980
20,110
650,740
850
64,790
30,798,530
745,030
3,814,930
3,719,100
95,830
487,330
362,600
136,070
141,490
5,540
684,090
251,310
182,110
(NA)
2,470
12,920
30,760
458,390
38,280
19,630
400,480
8,090
51,230
160
(NA) Not available.
(X) Not applicable.
1
Area planted for all purposes.
2
Total may not add due to rounding.
3
Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
26
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Yield and Production – United States: 2012 and 2013 (Metric Units)
[Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2013 crop year.
Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Crop
Yield per hectare
Production
2012
2013
2012
2013
(metric tons)
(metric tons)
(metric tons)
(metric tons)
Grains and hay
Barley ..................................................................
Corn for grain .......................................................
Corn for silage .....................................................
Hay, all 1 ..............................................................
Alfalfa ..............................................................
All other ...........................................................
Oats .....................................................................
Proso millet ..........................................................
Rice .....................................................................
Rye ......................................................................
Sorghum for grain ................................................
Sorghum for silage ...............................................
Wheat, all 1 ..........................................................
Winter ..............................................................
Durum ..............................................................
Other spring .....................................................
3.65
7.74
34.47
4.78
6.75
3.90
2.20
0.84
8.35
1.76
3.13
25.54
3.11
3.18
2.62
3.02
4,796,120
273,832,130
102,920,110
108,751,490
47,218,060
61,533,430
929,310
70,080
9,048,220
176,390
6,272,360
3,751,210
61,755,240
44,775,060
2,230,480
14,749,710
Oilseeds
Canola .................................................................
Cottonseed ..........................................................
Flaxseed ..............................................................
Mustard seed .......................................................
Peanuts ...............................................................
Rapeseed ............................................................
Safflower .............................................................
Soybeans for beans .............................................
Sunflower ............................................................
1.59
(X)
1.08
0.67
4.70
2.47
1.26
2.66
1.70
1,110,130
5,224,480
146,360
13,580
3,057,850
2,100
81,390
82,054,800
1,263,570
Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops
Cotton, all 1 ..........................................................
Upland .............................................................
American Pima ................................................
Sugarbeets ..........................................................
Sugarcane ...........................................................
Tobacco ...............................................................
0.97
0.95
1.73
65.59
80.51
2.54
3,703,470
3,538,020
165,450
31,965,560
29,192,300
345,840
Dry beans, peas, and lentils
Austrian winter peas ............................................
Dry edible beans ..................................................
Dry edible peas ....................................................
Lentils ..................................................................
Wrinkled seed peas .............................................
1.37
2.12
1.96
1.32
(NA)
7,570
1,448,090
493,150
240,490
18,420
Potatoes and miscellaneous
Coffee (Hawaii) ....................................................
Hops ....................................................................
Peppermint oil ......................................................
Potatoes, all 1 ......................................................
Spring ..............................................................
Summer ...........................................................
Fall ..................................................................
Spearmint oil .......................................................
Sweet potatoes ....................................................
Taro (Hawaii) .......................................................
1.32
2.15
0.10
46.22
31.68
41.26
47.86
0.13
23.45
(NA)
3,270
27,780
3,000
21,188,480
1,212,720
809,890
19,165,870
1,080
1,201,200
1,540
(NA) Not available.
(X) Not applicable.
1
Production may not add due to rounding.
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
27
Winter Weather Summary
Highlights: Generally mild weather from the Plains to the Atlantic Seaboard contrasted with colder-than-normal weather
in the West. Relative to normal, February was the coldest month of the winter of 2012-13 for locations east of the Rocky
Mountains. Frigid conditions in December and January eased somewhat across the Intermountain West toward the end of
winter.
Winter precipitation eradicated drought across much of the lower Southeast. Even as heavy rain triggered lowland
flooding across the Deep South, including Florida’s panhandle, showers largely bypassed Florida’s citrus belt. As a result,
producers across Florida’s peninsula had to rely on irrigation as warm weather pushed citrus into an early bloom during
February. Farther west, above-normal winter precipitation provided some limited relief to drought-stressed rangeland,
pastures, and winter wheat on the Plains. Beneficial winter precipitation also fell across the upper Midwest; however,
subsoil moisture shortages persisted across the Nation’s midsection as producers prepared for spring planting. In contrast,
drought was mostly eliminated before or during winter in the eastern Corn Belt.
Elsewhere, the Western wet season got off to a good start, especially in December; however, unfavorably dry conditions
developed as 2013 began and persisted through January and February. As a result, water-supply prospects – especially
from California to the central and southern Rockies – dimmed by the end of winter.
Historical Perspective: The winter of 2012-13 was overall warm and wet. The Nation’s average temperature of
34.3 degrees Fahrenheit was 1.9 degrees above the long-term mean, while the average precipitation of 7.10 inches was
110 percent of normal. These numbers represented the 19th-warmest, 25th-wettest December to February during the
118-year period of record.
Winter warmth was most prevalent east of the Rockies, while chilly conditions were the rule from California to the
southern Rockies. State temperature rankings ranged from the 20th-coldest February in Utah to the fifth-warmest February
in Delaware. Meanwhile, most of the eastern half of the United States experienced a wet winter, while pockets of dryness
dotted the West. State rankings varied from the 21st-driest December to February period in California to the fourth-wettest
winter in Alabama, Louisiana, and Michigan. Top-ten values for winter wetness were also noted in Georgia, Mississippi,
Illinois, and Wisconsin.
December: Despite occasional December precipitation across the Nation’s midsection, hard red winter wheat conditions
remained mostly steady or declined due to poor crop establishment and acute soil moisture shortages. In addition, drought
intensified across southern portions of the Plains, especially from southern Texas into eastern Kansas. By December 30,
the portion of the Plains’ wheat rated in very poor to poor condition included 61 percent in Oklahoma, 49 percent in
Nebraska, and 31 percent in Kansas. However, enough snow fell across the northern and central Plains to provide some
degree of insulation from temperatures that locally and periodically fell to -10 degrees Fahrenheit or lower.
In contrast, significant precipitation fell in much of the soft red winter wheat belt, particularly across the Ohio Valley. As
a result, most of the wheat continued to thrive across the Mid-South and lower Midwest. By month’s end, 70 percent of
the Illinois wheat crop was rated good to excellent. In both the Ohio Valley and the upper Midwest, enough of
December’s precipitation fell in the frozen form to establish a substantial snow cover. Meanwhile, widespread
precipitation also fell in much of the East, although rain was spotty across Florida. Some of the heaviest precipitation,
relative to normal, fell across the Northeast and from the central Gulf Coast into the southern Appalachians.
Elsewhere, much of the West experienced unsettled weather during December. Precipitation was especially heavy from
northern California into the Intermountain West. For example, the average water content of the high-elevation Sierra
Nevada snow pack increased by 10 inches during the month, reaching 14 inches (approximately 140 percent of normal) by
the end of December.
The Nation’s winter agricultural regions escaped significant freezes during December, although there were several chilly
mornings - particularly from December 19-21 - in California and the Desert Southwest. Florida’s coldest morning, for the
most part, occurred on December 23. Overall, December temperatures were highly variable in the West but mostly above
28
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
normal across the eastern half of the Nation. Western temperatures were influenced by snow cover, mainly in parts of the
Intermountain region.
January: Despite sporadic January precipitation on the Plains, drought remained entrenched across the Nation’s
midsection. By month’s end, at least half of the winter wheat was rated very poor to poor in Oklahoma (69 percent), South
Dakota (66 percent), and Nebraska (50 percent). In Kansas, 39 percent of the winter wheat and 85 percent of the
rangeland and pastures were rated very poor to poor on January 27. Precipitation was a little heavier on the northern
Plains, where snow provided wheat with some protection from weather extremes. The southern Plains also received
moisture from time to time, helping to offset the effects of mostly above-normal temperatures. In fact, above-normal
monthly temperatures prevailed in nearly all areas from the Plains to the East Coast, despite a late-month cold outbreak
that resulted in the coldest weather in 2 years in parts of the Midwest and Northeast. January readings averaged more than
5 degrees Fahrenheit above normal in much of the Southeast. In contrast, frigid weather blanketed the Intermountain
region, while near- to below-normal temperatures covered the remainder of the West. Chilly weather that struck winter
agricultural regions in California and Arizona at mid-month represented the area’s most severe cold wave since a similarly
timed event in mid-January 2007.
Meanwhile, abundant January precipitation fell from the Mississippi Valley to the Appalachians, as well as in the MidAtlantic States. Lowland flooding affected several areas, primarily from the central Gulf Coast northeastward into the
Ohio Valley. In contrast, very little moisture spilled across the mountains into New England or the southern Atlantic
States. In the latter region, the combination of warm, dry conditions led to heavy irrigation demands in Florida’s winter
agricultural belt.
Elsewhere, disappointingly dry weather accompanied generally cool conditions in the West. For example, the average
water content of the high-elevation Sierra Nevada snow pack stood at 16 inches (about 90 percent of average) at month’s
end, compared to 14 inches (140 percent) on January 1. However, late-month storms provided some drought relief in the
Southwest.
February: For many areas east of the Rockies, particularly across the Midwestern and Mid-Atlantic States, February was
the coldest month during the winter of 2012-13. Conversely, warmth continued across the Deep South, from southern
Texas to Florida’s peninsula, where some early planting activities and blooming were noted by the end of February.
February precipitation highlights included heavy rain in the lower Southeast and several late-winter storms across the
Plains and Midwest. Southeastern storms led to some record-high February precipitation totals and lowland flooding;
however, rainfall largely bypassed Florida’s peninsula, where producers continued to irrigate citrus and other crops.
Across the Plains and Midwest, the highest-impact storms struck during the second half of the month, from
February 20-22 and 25-27. Both late-month storms produced heavy, wind-driven snow in various parts of the central and
southern Plains and Midwest, stressing livestock and disrupting travel, but providing beneficial topsoil moisture and
insulation for drought-stressed rangeland, pastures, and winter wheat. Still, by late February, roughly one-third to
two-thirds of the hard red winter wheat was rated very poor to poor - a list headed by South Dakota (66 percent very poor
to poor), Oklahoma (54 percent), Nebraska (50 percent), Texas (45 percent), and Kansas (36 percent).
Elsewhere, drier-than-normal weather dominated during February across southern Texas and nearly all areas west of the
Rockies. In fact, disappointing amounts of precipitation fell across much of the West in January-February 2013,
diminishing the prospects for spring and summer runoff and increasing water-supply concerns from California to the
central and southern Rockies. By winter’s end, the water content of the high-elevation Sierra Nevada snow pack stood at
16 inches, about two-thirds of normal for the end of February.
Crop Comments
Corn: Growers intend to plant 97.3 million acres of corn for all purposes in 2013, up slightly from last year and 6 percent
higher than in 2011. Expected returns for corn are again historically high going into 2013. If realized, this will represent
the highest planted acreage in the United States since 1936 when an estimated 102 million acres were planted. Record
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
29
high corn acreage is expected in Arizona, Idaho, Minnesota, Nevada, North Dakota, and Oregon. Conversely, most States
in the Corn Belt, which experienced severe drought in 2012, expect slightly less planted acreage.
Sorghum: Growers intend to plant 7.62 million acres of sorghum for all purposes in 2013, up 22 percent from last year.
Kansas and Texas are the leading sorghum States and account for 77 percent of the expected United States acreage. As of
March 24, Texas growers had planted 33 percent of their crop, 3 percentage points ahead of last year but the same as the
5-year average.
Oats: Area seeded to oats for the 2013 crop year is expected to total 2.90 million acres, up 5 percent from 2012. If
realized, this will be the third lowest United States total on record. Record low acreage is expected in California, Idaho,
Indiana, Minnesota, Iowa, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Wyoming.
Barley: Producers intend to seed 3.63 million acres of barley for the 2013 crop year, down slightly from the previous
year. If realized, this will be the fifth smallest seeded area on record. Record low acreage is expected in Michigan.
Winter wheat: The 2013 winter wheat planted area is estimated at 42.0 million acres, up slightly from the Winter Wheat
Seedings report. Acreage increases from the previous report were mainly in the Soft Red Winter growing States. Of the
total acreage, about 28.9 million acres are Hard Red Winter, 9.67 million acres are Soft Red Winter, and 3.39 million
acres are White Winter. Winter wheat conditions improved over the winter in much of the Hard Red Winter growing area.
Increases from last year are estimated in most Soft Red Winter growing States with North Carolina producers planting a
record high acreage.
Durum wheat: Area seeded to Durum wheat for 2013 is expected to total 1.75 million acres, down 18 percent from 2012.
Planted acreage is expected to be down in all States except South Dakota. If realized, planted acres will be a record low in
Idaho.
Other spring wheat: Growers intend to plant 12.7 million acres in 2013, up 3 percent from 2012. Of the total, about
12.1 million acres are Hard Red Spring wheat. The largest expected acreage increase from the previous year is in
North Dakota.
Rice: Area planted to rice in 2013 is expected to total 2.61 million acres, down 3 percent from 2012. Higher prices for
competing commodities contributed to the expected decline in rice acres compared with last year. While short grain acres
are expected to remain unchanged, long and medium grain acres are expected to be down 3 and 4 percent, respectively.
Area planted to rice in Arkansas, the largest rice-producing State, is 5 percent below the previous year. In Mississippi,
growers intend to plant 8 percent fewer acres to rice than in 2012. In Texas where drought conditions persist, a record low
acreage is expected to be planted.
Hay: Producers intend to harvest 56.4 million acres of all hay in 2013, up slightly from 2012. Hay acreage is expected to
decline from last year across most of the eastern States, Southwest, and Great Lakes region. Record low acreage is
expected across several New England States, as well as Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and
Wisconsin. In contrast, Arkansas is expecting record high acreage in 2013.
Soybeans: Growers intend to plant an estimated 77.1 million acres in 2013, down slightly from last year but up 3 percent
from 2011. Compared with last year, planted acreage intentions are down across all of the Great Plains, with the exception
of North Dakota, as drought conditions have persisted in many of these areas. However, the net intended change from last
year for the United States is only a loss of 72,000 acres as expected increases in planted area across most of the eastern
Corn Belt and parts of the Southeast nearly balance out the declines in the Great Plains. If realized, the planted area in
New York, North Dakota, and Pennsylvania will be the largest on record.
Peanuts: Growers intend to plant 1.19 million acres in 2013, down 27 percent from the previous year. The expected
decrease in planted area is largely driven by lower peanut prices and high supply. Last year growers increased peanut
acres in many States due to higher prices. In Georgia, the largest peanut-producing State, expected planted area is down
35 percent from 2012.
30
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Sunflower: Growers intend to plant a total of 1.68 million acres in 2013, down 12 percent from last year. Planted area for
the Nation will be the second lowest since 1976, if realized. Area intended for oil type varieties, at 1.40 million acres, is
down 16 percent from 2012 and will be the second lowest planted area since 1990, if realized. The area intended for
non-oil varieties, estimated at 285,000 acres, is up 9 percent from last year but will still be the third lowest planted area
since 1987, if realized.
If intentions are realized, planted area of sunflower in South Dakota will exceed the total in North Dakota for the first time
since records began in both States.
Canola: Producers intend to plant 1.65 million acres in 2013, down 6 percent from 2012. If realized, planted area in the
United States will be the second largest on record. Compared with last year, planted area is expected to increase in five of
the seven major canola-producing States, with acreage in Oklahoma, Oregon, and Washington expected to increase more
than 50 percent from the previous year. However, producers in North Dakota, the leading canola State, intend to plant
1.23 million acres, down 230,000 acres from last year.
Flaxseed: Producers intend to plant 272,000 acres of flaxseed in 2013, down 21 percent from 2012 but 53 percent more
than was planted in 2011. Acreage in North Dakota, the largest flaxseed-producing State, is expected to decrease
21 percent from 2012.
Cotton: Growers intend to plant 10.0 million acres in 2013, down 19 percent from last year. Upland area is expected to
total 9.82 million acres, down 19 percent from 2012. American Pima area is expected to total 206,000 acres, down
14 percent from 2012. If realized, planted area in Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, and Oklahoma will all
be record lows. As of March 24, cotton planting in Texas was 3 percent complete, 5 percentage points behind last year
and 2 percentage points behind the 5-year average.
Sugarbeets: Area planted to sugarbeets for the 2013 crop year is expected to total 1.20 million acres, down 2 percent
from the 1.23 million acres planted in 2012. Planted area is expected to decrease from the previous year in seven of the
ten estimating States.
Tobacco: United States all tobacco area for harvest in 2013 is estimated at 349,630 acres, up 4 percent from 2012.
Increases in flue-cured, fire-cured, light air-cured, and cigar-types offset a decrease in dark-air cured.
Flue-cured tobacco, at 218,000 acres, is 6 percent above 2012. Flue-cured tobacco accounts for 62 percent of this year’s
total tobacco acreage. Total light air-cured tobacco type area, at 105,100 acres, is up 1 percent from a year ago. Burley
tobacco, at 103,100 acres, is 2 percent above last year.
Fire-cured tobacco, at 16,680 acres, is up 2 percent from 2012. Dark air-cured tobacco, at 5,000 acres, is down 4 percent
from last year. All cigar type tobacco harvested area, at 4,850 acres, is 9 percent above last year. Cigar filler is down
10 percent from last year.
Spring potatoes: Planted area for spring potatoes is estimated at 74,900 acres for the 2013 season, down 23 percent from
2012. Beginning in 2013, Texas estimates for spring potatoes will be included in summer potatoes.
Water availability is a concern for growers in California. In Florida, growers have been impacted by freezing temperatures
that delayed plantings and damaged potatoes already in the ground. Growers reported having to replant acreage in some
areas.
Sweet potatoes: Planted area of sweet potatoes is estimated at 122,300 acres for the 2013 season, down 6 percent from
last year. Water availability is a concern for growers in California. In Florida, acreage in some areas sustained minor
damage due to freezing conditions. Planted acreage in Louisiana is expected to be the lowest on record.
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
31
Dry beans: Growers intend to plant 1.50 million acres in 2013, down 14 percent from last year. Expected area planted for
all chickpeas is 214,300 acres, up 3 percent from last season. Small chickpea area, at 67,000 acres, is 4 percent lower than
2012. Large chickpea area, at 147,300 acres, is expected to be 6 percent above last year.
Planted area is expected to be lower than last year in 15 of the 18 States in the dry bean estimating program. In
North Dakota, the largest producing State, planted area is expected to decrease by 150,000 acres, or 21 percent from a
year ago.
Lentils: Area planted for the 2013 crop year is expected to total 335,000 acres, down 28 percent from 2012. Prospective
plantings are down in all four estimating program States. Montana’s anticipated area is down 41 percent from 2012, while
North Dakota growers expect to plant 12 percent fewer acres than a year ago.
Dry edible peas: Area planted for the 2013 crop year is expected to total 850,000 acres, up 31 percent from 2012.
Prospective plantings are up in Idaho, Montana, and North Dakota. Montana and North Dakota anticipated planted area is
up 35 percent and 36 percent, respectively, from 2012.
Austrian winter peas: Planted area is estimated at 19,000 acres, the same as last year. Growers in Idaho and Oregon
intend to plant more acres this season, while Montana farmers anticipate lower plantings from a year ago.
32
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Statistical Methodology
Survey Procedures: The acreage estimates in this report are based primarily on surveys conducted during the first two
weeks of March. The March Agricultural Survey is a probability survey that includes a sample of over 83,500 farm
operators selected from a list of producers that ensures all operations in the United States have a chance to be selected.
These operators were contacted by mail, internet, telephone, or personal interview to obtain information on crop acreage
planned for the 2013 crop year.
Estimating Procedures: National, Regional, State, and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and
consistency with historical estimates. Each State Field Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the
Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). Survey data are compiled to the National level and are reviewed at this level
independently of each State's review. Acreage estimates were based on survey data and the historical relationship of
official estimates to the survey data.
Revision Policy: Acreage estimates in the Prospective Plantings report will not be revised. These estimates are intended
to reflect grower intentions as of the survey period. New acreage estimates will be made based on surveys conducted in
June when crop acreages have been established or planting intentions are firm. These new estimates will be published in
the Acreage report scheduled for June 28, 2013. Winter wheat is an exception. Since winter wheat was seeded prior to the
March survey, any changes in estimates in this report are considered revisions. The estimate of the harvested acreage of
winter wheat will be published on May 10, 2013, along with the first production forecast of the crop year.
Reliability: The survey used to make acreage estimates is subject to sampling and non sampling errors that are common
to all surveys. Sampling errors represent the variability between estimates that would result if many different samples
were surveyed at the same time. Sampling errors for major crops are generally between 1.0 and 3.0 percent, but they
cannot be applied directly to the acreage published in this report to determine confidence intervals because the official
estimates represent a composite of information from more than a single source.
Non sampling errors cannot be measured directly. They may occur due to incorrect reporting and/or recording, data
omissions or duplications, and errors in processing. To minimize non sampling errors, vigorous quality controls are used
in the data collection process and all data are carefully reviewed for consistency and reasonableness.
To assist users in evaluating the reliability of acreage estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical
measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviations between the acreage estimates in this report and the final
estimates are expressed as a percentage of the final estimates. The average of squared percentage deviations for the latest
20 year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error."
Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current estimates relative to the final end of
season estimates, assuming that factors affecting this year's estimates are not different from those influencing recent years.
For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the corn planted estimate is 2.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out
of 3 that the current corn acreage estimate will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 2.1 percent. Chances
are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 3.6 percent.
Also, shown in the following table is a 20 year record for selected crops of the difference between the Prospective
Plantings planted acreage estimates and the final estimates. Using corn again as an example, changes between the
intentions estimates and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 1.19 million acres, ranging from
32,000 acres to 3.84 million acres. The prospective plantings estimates have been below the final estimate 8 times and
above 12 times. This does not imply that the planted estimate this year is likely to understate or overstate the final
estimate.
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
33
Reliability of Prospective Plantings Planted Acreage Estimates
[Based on data for the past twenty years]
Crop
Root mean
square error
Difference between forecast
and final estimate
90 percent
confidence
interval
Thousand acres
Average
(percent)
Barley .........................................
Corn for grain ..............................
Oats ............................................
Sorghum for grain .......................
Soybeans for beans ....................
Upland cotton ..............................
Wheat
Winter wheat .............................
Durum wheat ............................
Other spring ..............................
34
(percent)
Smallest
Years
Largest
(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres)
Below
final
Above
final
(number)
(number)
7.0
2.1
6.2
9.4
2.0
5.8
12.1
3.6
10.7
16.3
3.5
10.0
250
1,194
211
660
1,204
586
31
32
4
31
25
6
455
3,844
660
2,471
3,296
2,115
5
8
2
11
12
12
15
12
18
9
8
8
1.5
17.8
6.0
2.6
30.8
10.4
538
220
688
52
15
12
1,415
996
2,543
6
14
9
14
6
11
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Information Contacts
Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact
for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov
Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch ....................................................................................................... (202) 720-2127
Anthony Prillaman, Head, Field Crops Section .................................................................................... (202) 720-2127
Brent Chittenden – Oats, Rye, Wheat .............................................................................................. (202) 720-8068
Angie Considine – Peanuts, Rice ..................................................................................................... (202) 720-7688
Steve Maliszewski – Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum................................................................ (202) 720-5944
Anthony Prillaman – Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet ......................................................................... (202) 720-2127
Julie Schmidt – Crop Weather, Barley, Hay .................................................................................... (202) 720-7621
Travis Thorson – Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds ................................................................. (202) 720-7369
Jorge Garcia-Pratts, Head, Fruits, Vegetables and Special Crops Section............................................ (202) 720-2127
Debbie Flippin – Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries ..................................... (202) 720-2157
Fred Granja – Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Plums, Prunes, Tobacco .............................................. (202) 720-4288
Chris Hawthorn – Citrus, Coffee, Grapes, Sugar Crops, Tropical Fruits ........................................ (202) 720-5412
Dave Losh – Hops ............................................................................................................................ (360) 709-2400
Dan Norris – Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint,
Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas, Dry Beans .................................................. (202) 720-3250
Daphne Schauber – Berries, Cranberries, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes .............................................. (202) 720-4285
Erika White – Floriculture, Maple Syrup, Nursery, Tree Nuts ....................................................... (202) 720-4215
Prospective Plantings (March 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
35
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7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov.
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| File Type | application/pdf |
| File Title | Prospective Plantings 03/28/2013 |
| Author | USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service |
| File Modified | 2013-03-28 |
| File Created | 2013-03-28 |