Download:
pdf |
pdfPotato
Stocks
Washington, D.C.
Released December 14, 2007, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department
of Agriculture. For information on Potato Stocks call Cathy Scherrer at (202) 720-4285, office hours 7:00 a.m. to 3:30 p.m. ET.
Potato Stocks Up 4 Percent from Last Year
The 13 major potato States held 270 million cwt of potatoes in storage December 1, 2007, up 4 percent from
last year and 6 percent above December 1, 2005. Potatoes in storage account for 68 percent of the 2007 fall
storage States’ production, up 1 percentage point from last year. Klamath Basin stocks totaled 4.20 million
cwt on December 1, 2007, up 5 percent from last year. Klamath Basin includes California and Klamath
County, Oregon potato stocks. Potato disappearance, at 130 million cwt, is virtually unchanged from last
year but up 8 percent from 2005. Season to date shrink and loss, at 13.9 million cwt, is up 5 percent from
2006 and 9 percent above 2 years ago. Processors in the 9 major States have used 72.0 million cwt of
potatoes this season, down 3 percent from a year ago but 10 percent above 2 years ago. Dehydrating usage
accounts for 12.7 million cwt of the total processing, down 13 percent from last year but 7 percent above the
same date in 2005.
Pot 1-2 (12-07)
Table of Contents
Page
December Stocks .............................................................................................................................................. 3
Monthly Processing, 9 States ............................................................................................................................ 4
Stocks by Type ................................................................................................................................................. 4
Area, Yield, and Production
By Season and State ............................................................................................................................ 5
By State and United States .................................................................................................................. 8
Disposition and December Stocks 2004-2007 ................................................................................................. 10
Production, Sold, Not Sold, and Kept for Seed, United States ........................................................................ 12
Shrinkage and Loss .......................................................................................................................................... 12
Potato Objective Yield Survey Results ........................................................................................................... 12
Potato Size and Grade ...................................................................................................................................... 14
Farm Marketings ............................................................................................................................................. 17
Stocks Narrative .............................................................................................................................................. 18
Production Narrative ........................................................................................................................................ 19
Reliability ........................................................................................................................................................ 20
December Stocks: Preliminary vs. Final 1997-2007 ...................................................................................... 20
Potato Stocks
December 2007
2
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
Fall Potatoes: Production and Stocks, 13 Major States,
December 1, 2006-2007 1
Crop of 2006
State
Crop of 2007
Prod
Stocks
Dec 1,
2006
%
of
Prod
Prod
Stocks
Dec 1,
2007
%
of
Prod
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
Percent
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
Percent
CA
CO
ID
ME
MI
MN
MT
NE
NY
ND
OR
WA
WI
3,870
22,686
128,915
17,980
14,190
20,400
3,518
8,730
5,700
25,480
18,533
89,900
29,370
1,800
17,200
90,000
14,400
8,100
13,300
3,300
5,800
3,000
17,300
16,000
49,000
20,100
47
76
70
80
57
65
94
66
53
68
86
55
68
4,223
20,981
131,650
16,530
14,700
20,680
3,696
7,800
5,216
23,660
20,238
102,300
28,160
2,000
15,200
94,000
12,700
9,500
13,500
3,600
5,200
2,800
14,500
18,000
60,000
19,000
47
72
71
77
65
65
97
67
54
61
89
59
67
13 States
389,272
259,300
67
399,834
270,000
68
Klamath Basin 2
1
2
4,000
4,200
Stocks include processor holdings and most of the seed to plant following year's crop. Seed usage for all seasons in 2007 totaled
26.4 million cwt.
Includes potato stocks in CA and Klamath Co. OR.
Fall Potatoes: Production and Stocks, 13 Major States, 1998-2007
Crop
Year
1998 1
1999 1
2000 1
2001 1
2002 1
2003 1
2004 1
2005
2006
2007
1
Production
Dec 1
Jan 1
Feb 1
Mar 1
Apr 1
May 1
Jun 1
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
423,170
420,567
458,827
387,033
407,085
403,181
403,587
374,298
389,272
399,834
280,910
275,100
310,300
258,750
264,485
267,900
271,100
253,800
259,300
270,000
246,230
239,910
275,270
224,680
231,490
233,590
236,700
220,500
226,100
209,640
207,150
234,260
192,090
199,020
200,230
203,490
189,100
192,600
173,650
169,620
197,670
158,590
165,210
166,280
168,020
155,500
159,700
131,220
128,410
153,520
119,950
125,770
126,110
128,900
115,700
121,000
87,895
86,915
109,160
81,200
83,040
85,000
88,550
75,900
79,050
50,270
47,220
61,270
42,990
45,880
46,020
51,700
41,560
44,460
15 major States.
NOTE: Stocks are defined as the quantity (whether sold or not) remaining in storage for all purposes and
uses, including seed potatoes that are not yet moved, and shrinkage, waste, and other losses that occur after
the date of each report. Sales of fall potatoes for all purposes for the past 5 years averaged 91.1 percent of
the total fall production. Shrinkage, loss, and home use account for the remaining 8.9 percent.
Potato Stocks
December 2007
3
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
Potatoes: Quantity Used for Processing, 9 States, 2005-2007 1
State and
Crop Year
Dec 1
Jan 1
Feb 1
Mar 1
Apr 1
May 1
Jun 1
Season
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
ID & OR-Mal
2005
2006
2007
22,840
27,090
26,230
29,300
34,070
35,970
41,350
43,300
48,940
50,820
56,650
57,830
63,680
65,030
71,220
77,360
85,630
1,365
1,755
1,695
1,880
2,360
2,485
2,910
3,090
3,465
3,800
4,185
4,450
4,810
5,130
5,470
6,825
7,560
WA & OR-Oth
2005
2006
2007
30,310
30,980
28,995
35,895
37,060
40,545
42,190
48,290
49,930
55,320
56,690
61,855
63,170
69,360
70,410
78,550
77,355
Other Sts 3
2005
2006
2007
11,055
14,270
15,120
14,070
17,695
17,005
21,290
19,895
24,545
22,520
28,040
25,270
31,370
27,740
34,830
35,535
43,315
Total
2005
2006
2007
65,570
74,095
72,040
81,145
91,185
96,005
107,740
114,575
126,880
132,460
145,565
149,405
163,030
167,260
181,930
198,270
213,860
Dehydrated 4
2005
2006
2007
11,920
14,590
12,740
15,655
19,250
19,225
23,635
22,765
27,885
26,605
32,210
30,065
36,480
34,130
40,915
41,625
49,370
ME 2
2005
2006
2007
1
2
3
4
Total quantity received and used for processing regardless of the State in which the potatoes were produced. Amount excludes
quantities used for potato chips in ME and WI.
Includes Maine grown potatoes only.
CO, MN, NV, ND, and WI.
Dehydrated products except starch and flour. Included in above totals. Includes CO, ID, NV, ND, OR, WA, and WI.
Fall Potatoes: Stocks by Type as Percent of Total Stocks,
10 Selected States, December 1, 2006-2007
Potato Types
State
CO
ID
ME
MI
MN
NY
ND
OR
WA
WI
10 St Avg
1
Reds
Round Whites
Yellows 1
Long Whites
2006
2007
2006
2007
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
3
2
2
1
12
5
15
1
2
4
4
2
3
1
12
16
14
1
3
4
13
38
87
4
90
17
2
1
14
42
86
8
69
16
4
4
34
4
4
10
11
Russets
2006
2007
2006
2007
2006
2007
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
3
2
3
1
11
1
2
1
2
13
2
2
5
4
2
7
1
1
2
3
2
84
96
60
12
82
5
66
95
92
82
82
94
52
12
80
2
66
92
85
62
84
80
Estimates began in 2007.
Potato Stocks
December 2007
4
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
Seasonal
Group and
State
Potatoes: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production
by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2005-2007
Area Planted
Area Harvested
2005
2006
2007
2005
2006
2007
1,000 Acres
1,000 Acres
1,000 Acres
1,000 Acres
1,000 Acres
1,000 Acres
Winter 1
CA
FL 2
14.0
6.0
12.0
5.7
11.5
14.0
5.8
12.0
5.5
11.5
Total
20.0
17.7
11.5
19.8
17.5
11.5
4.3
15.1
23.6
17.3
6.3
15.5
9.5
3.9
15.3
23.1
17.0
6.1
17.7
10.7
4.0
15.5
27.8
16.5
11.3
16.0
9.7
4.3
15.1
23.2
17.0
6.2
15.0
9.1
3.9
15.3
22.6
16.6
6.0
15.5
10.2
4.0
15.5
27.2
16.2
11.0
14.5
9.2
68.0
70.7
73.0
66.7
67.5
70.4
Spring 1
AZ
CA
FL 2
Hastings
Other FL
NC
TX
Total
State
Yield
Production
2005
2006
2007
2005
2006
2007
Cwt
Cwt
Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
Winter 1
CA
FL 2
250
240
260
250
215
3,500
1,392
3,120
1,375
2,473
Total
247
257
215
4,892
4,495
2,473
275
405
281
280
285
190
225
300
395
285
285
285
210
280
280
395
284
280
290
190
320
1,183
6,116
6,527
4,760
1,767
2,850
2,048
1,170
6,044
6,441
4,731
1,710
3,255
2,856
1,120
6,123
7,726
4,536
3,190
2,755
2,944
281
293
294
18,724
19,766
20,668
Spring 1
AZ
CA
FL 2
Hastings
Other FL
NC
TX
Total
1
2
Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
Winter potatoes combined with spring potatoes in 2007.
Potato Stocks
December 2007
5
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
Seasonal
Group and
State
Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested by Seasonal Group, State,
and United States, 2005-2007
Area Planted
Area Harvested
2005
2006
2007
2005
2006
2007
1,000 Acres
1,000 Acres
1,000 Acres
1,000 Acres
1,000 Acres
1,000 Acres
Summer 1
AL
CA
CO
DE
IL
KS
MD
MO
NJ
TX
VA
1.6
6.2
5.0
3.3
5.7
5.1
3.5
6.5
2.1
9.4
5.0
1.7
6.3
3.7
3.0
6.5
6.0
4.0
7.8
2.5
10.5
6.0
1.5
7.0
3.0
2.0
6.3
4.5
3.0
7.0
2.3
11.2
6.0
1.3
6.2
4.9
3.1
5.5
5.0
3.4
6.3
2.1
8.7
4.9
1.6
6.3
3.6
2.1
6.3
5.7
2.9
7.6
2.5
9.7
5.6
1.3
7.0
2.8
2.0
6.1
4.4
3.0
6.7
2.3
8.9
5.8
Total
53.4
58.0
53.8
51.4
53.9
50.3
7.6
58.2
325.0
21.0
304.0
57.5
2.5
43.0
46.0
10.7
19.5
5.5
4.7
20.5
92.0
3.7
37.3
3.8
33.5
11.5
0.5
154.0
68.0
8.6
59.9
335.0
21.0
314.0
58.5
3.1
43.5
51.0
10.6
19.5
6.6
5.0
20.6
100.0
3.3
35.0
3.5
31.5
11.0
0.5
156.0
66.0
8.2
59.2
350.0
21.0
329.0
57.1
2.7
42.5
50.0
11.3
20.5
7.5
5.5
19.0
97.0
3.2
36.5
3.5
33.0
10.5
0.6
165.0
64.5
7.6
58.0
323.0
21.0
302.0
56.2
2.4
42.8
43.0
10.6
19.4
5.5
4.2
20.1
82.0
3.6
37.1
3.8
33.3
11.0
0.5
154.0
68.0
8.6
59.7
334.0
21.0
313.0
58.0
3.1
43.0
48.0
10.5
19.4
6.6
5.0
19.0
98.0
3.1
35.0
3.5
31.5
10.5
0.5
155.0
66.0
8.2
59.1
349.0
21.0
328.0
57.0
2.7
42.0
47.0
11.2
20.0
7.5
5.5
18.3
91.0
3.0
36.5
3.5
33.0
10.0
0.6
165.0
64.0
967.7
993.7
1,010.8
949.0
983.0
997.6
1,109.1
1,140.1
1,149.1
1,086.9
1,121.9
1,129.8
Fall
CA
CO
ID
10 SW Co
Other ID
ME
MA
MI
MN
MT
NE
NV
NM
NY
ND
OH
OR
Malheur
Other OR
PA
RI
WA
WI
Total
US
1
Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
Potato Stocks
December 2007
6
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
Seasonal
Group and
State
Potatoes: Yield and Production by Seasonal Group, State,
and United States, 2005-2007
Yield
Production
2005
2006
2007
2005
2006
2007
Cwt
Cwt
Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
Summer 1
AL
CA
CO
DE
IL
KS
MD
MO
NJ
TX
VA
150
355
375
260
380
360
260
340
255
465
210
150
335
360
240
395
320
320
315
240
440
270
120
360
360
260
400
345
300
305
255
420
185
195
2,201
1,838
806
2,090
1,800
884
2,142
536
4,046
1,029
240
2,111
1,296
504
2,489
1,824
928
2,394
600
4,268
1,512
156
2,520
1,008
520
2,440
1,518
900
2,044
587
3,738
1,073
Total
342
337
328
17,567
18,166
16,504
435
395
366
470
359
275
260
325
410
325
425
425
420
260
250
240
594
450
610
250
210
620
410
450
380
386
475
380
310
240
330
425
335
450
445
420
300
260
325
530
435
540
260
260
580
445
515
355
377
490
370
290
295
350
440
330
390
390
420
285
260
325
554
455
565
220
300
620
440
3,306
22,910
118,288
9,870
108,418
15,455
624
13,910
17,630
3,445
8,245
2,338
1,764
5,226
20,500
864
22,023
1,710
20,313
2,750
105
95,480
27,880
3,870
22,686
128,915
9,975
118,940
17,980
744
14,190
20,400
3,518
8,730
2,937
2,100
5,700
25,480
1,008
18,533
1,523
17,010
2,730
130
89,900
29,370
4,223
20,981
131,650
10,290
121,360
16,530
797
14,700
20,680
3,696
7,800
2,925
2,310
5,216
23,660
975
20,238
1,593
18,645
2,200
180
102,300
28,160
403
406
410
382,743
398,921
409,221
390
393
397
423,926
441,348
448,866
Fall
CA
CO
ID
10 SW Co
Other ID
ME
MA
MI
MN
MT
NE
NV
NM
NY
ND
OH
OR
Malheur
Other OR
PA
RI
WA
WI
Total
US
1
Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
Potato Stocks
December 2007
7
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
State
AL
AZ
CA
CO
DE
FL
ID
IL
KS
ME
MD
MA
MI
MN
MO
MT
NE
NV
NJ
NM
NY
NC
ND
OH
OR
PA
RI
TX
VA
WA
WI
US
Potato Stocks
December 2007
Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested by State
and United States, 2005-2007
Area Planted
Area Harvested
2005
2006
2007
2005
2006
2007
1,000 Acres
1,000 Acres
1,000 Acres
1,000 Acres
1,000 Acres
1,000 Acres
1.6
4.3
42.9
63.2
3.3
29.6
325.0
5.7
5.1
57.5
3.5
2.5
43.0
46.0
6.5
10.7
19.5
5.5
2.1
4.7
20.5
15.5
92.0
3.7
37.3
11.5
0.5
18.9
5.0
154.0
68.0
1.7
3.9
42.2
63.6
3.0
28.8
335.0
6.5
6.0
58.5
4.0
3.1
43.5
51.0
7.8
10.6
19.5
6.6
2.5
5.0
20.6
17.7
100.0
3.3
35.0
11.0
0.5
21.2
6.0
156.0
66.0
1.5
4.0
42.2
62.2
2.0
27.8
350.0
6.3
4.5
57.1
3.0
2.7
42.5
50.0
7.0
11.3
20.5
7.5
2.3
5.5
19.0
16.0
97.0
3.2
36.5
10.5
0.6
20.9
6.0
165.0
64.5
1.3
4.3
42.9
62.9
3.1
29.0
323.0
5.5
5.0
56.2
3.4
2.4
42.8
43.0
6.3
10.6
19.4
5.5
2.1
4.2
20.1
15.0
82.0
3.6
37.1
11.0
0.5
17.8
4.9
154.0
68.0
1.6
3.9
42.2
63.3
2.1
28.1
334.0
6.3
5.7
58.0
2.9
3.1
43.0
48.0
7.6
10.5
19.4
6.6
2.5
5.0
19.0
15.5
98.0
3.1
35.0
10.5
0.5
19.9
5.6
155.0
66.0
1.3
4.0
42.2
61.9
2.0
27.2
349.0
6.1
4.4
57.0
3.0
2.7
42.0
47.0
6.7
11.2
20.0
7.5
2.3
5.5
18.3
14.5
91.0
3.0
36.5
10.0
0.6
18.1
5.8
165.0
64.0
1,109.1
1,140.1
1,149.1
1,086.9
1,121.9
1,129.8
8
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
State
Potatoes: Yield and Production by State
and United States, 2005-2007
Yield 1
Production
2005
2006
2007
2005
2006
2007
Cwt
Cwt
Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
AL
AZ
CA
CO
DE
FL
ID
IL
KS
ME
MD
MA
MI
MN
MO
MT
NE
NV
NJ
NM
NY
NC
ND
OH
OR
PA
RI
TX
VA
WA
WI
150
275
353
393
260
273
366
380
360
275
260
260
325
410
340
325
425
425
255
420
260
190
250
240
594
250
210
342
210
620
410
150
300
359
379
240
278
386
395
320
310
320
240
330
425
315
335
450
445
240
420
300
210
260
325
530
260
260
358
270
580
445
120
280
363
355
260
284
377
400
345
290
300
295
350
440
305
330
390
390
255
420
285
190
260
325
554
220
300
369
185
620
440
195
1,183
15,123
24,748
806
7,919
118,288
2,090
1,800
15,455
884
624
13,910
17,630
2,142
3,445
8,245
2,338
536
1,764
5,226
2,850
20,500
864
22,023
2,750
105
6,094
1,029
95,480
27,880
240
1,170
15,145
23,982
504
7,816
128,915
2,489
1,824
17,980
928
744
14,190
20,400
2,394
3,518
8,730
2,937
600
2,100
5,700
3,255
25,480
1,008
18,533
2,730
130
7,124
1,512
89,900
29,370
156
1,120
15,339
21,989
520
7,726
131,650
2,440
1,518
16,530
900
797
14,700
20,680
2,044
3,696
7,800
2,925
587
2,310
5,216
2,755
23,660
975
20,238
2,200
180
6,682
1,073
102,300
28,160
US
390
393
397
423,926
441,348
448,866
1
Derived
Potato Stocks
December 2007
9
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
State
Fall Potatoes: Production, December 1 Stocks, and Farm Disposition,
13 Storage States and Fall Season States, 2004-2007 Crop Years
Total
Farm Disposition
Used
Where Grown
Crop
Stocks
Production
For
Year
Dec 1
Seed, Feed,
Shrinkage
Fall
Home Use
and Loss
Seed
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
Sold
1,000 Cwt
CA
2004
2005
2006
2007
3,648
3,306
3,870
4,223
3,000
1,600
1,800
2,000
213
249
210
1
292
331
480
3,355
2,975
3,390
2004
2005
2006
2007
23,791
22,910
22,686
20,981
18,000
17,200
17,200
15,200
1,513
1,498
1,480
1,300
1,200
1,140
2,286
1,650
2,056
20,205
20,060
19,490
2004
2005
2006
2007
131,970
118,288
128,915
131,650
93,500
85,000
90,000
94,000
7,150
7,370
7,875
1,250
1,230
1,188
10,902
7,800
8,200
119,818
109,258
119,527
2004
2005
2006
2007
19,065
15,455
17,980
16,530
15,000
12,500
14,400
12,700
1,231
1,264
1,236
190
242
228
4,900
1,183
1,482
13,975
14,030
16,270
2004
2005
2006
2007
13,650
13,910
14,190
14,700
8,000
7,900
8,100
9,500
860
1,044
961
194
182
180
1,656
1,728
1,800
11,800
12,000
12,210
2004
2005
2006
2007
18,920
17,630
20,400
20,680
13,000
13,500
13,300
13,500
837
1,040
1,190
100
140
250
1,750
1,600
1,700
17,070
15,890
18,450
2004
2005
2006
2007
3,551
3,445
3,518
3,696
3,500
3,400
3,300
3,600
257
244
270
156
156
180
276
210
130
3,119
3,079
3,208
2004
2005
2006
2007
9,288
8,245
8,730
7,800
6,300
5,600
5,800
5,200
519
515
521
212
231
200
906
834
775
8,170
7,180
7,755
2004
2005
2006
2007
5,184
5,226
5,700
5,216
2,300
2,900
3,000
2,800
451
453
460
100
100
100
513
491
480
4,571
4,635
5,120
CO
ID
ME
MI
MN
MT
NE
NY
--continued
Potato Stocks
December 2007
10
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
State
Fall Potatoes: Production, December 1 Stocks, and Farm Disposition,
13 States and Fall Season, 2004-2007 (continued)
Total
Farm Disposition
Used
Where Grown
Crop
Stocks
Production
For
Year
Dec 1
Seed, Feed,
Shrinkage
Fall
Home Use
and Loss
Seed
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
Sold
1,000 Cwt
ND
OH 1
2004
2005
2006
2007
26,765
20,500
25,480
23,660
19,600
14,000
17,300
14,500
1,794
1,900
1,853
240
240
240
2,825
1,810
2,290
23,700
18,450
22,950
2004
2005
2006
2007
1,080
200
73
6
33
1,041
2004
2005
2006
2007
19,775
22,023
18,533
20,238
17,000
19,000
16,000
18,000
955
837
880
241
255
260
1,264
1,392
1,020
18,270
20,376
17,253
2004
2005
2006
2007
2,640
1,600
253
39
216
2,385
2004
2005
2006
2007
93,810
95,480
89,900
102,300
50,000
52,500
49,000
60,000
3,850
3,900
4,290
240
240
240
5,600
6,000
5,500
87,970
89,240
84,160
2004
2005
2006
2007
30,450
27,880
29,370
28,160
20,100
18,700
20,100
19,000
1,360
1,452
1,430
260
300
245
1,985
1,380
1,925
28,205
26,200
27,200
2004
2005
2006
2007
403,587
374,298
389,272
399,834
271,100
253,800
259,300
270,000
21,316
21,766
22,656
4,529
4,516
4,451
35,404
26,409
27,838
363,654
343,373
356,983
2004
2005
2006
2007
410,253
382,743
398,921
409,221
21,593
22,415
23,337
4,549
4,545
4,482
35,923
27,115
28,576
369,781
351,083
365,863
OR
PA 1
WA
WI
13 States 2
Fall States
Klamath Basin 3
2004
2005
2006
2007
1
2
3
4,000
4,200
Stock estimates discontinued in 2005.
15 Storage States in 2004.
Estimates began in December 2006. Includes potato stocks in CA and Klamath Co. OR.
Potato Stocks
December 2007
11
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
Potatoes: Production, Sold, Not Sold, and Kept for Seed,
United States, 2002-2007
Fall Potatoes
Crop
Year
Production
Sold
Sold
as % of
Prod
Not Sold
Not Sold
as % of
Prod
Amount Used
for Seed
All Seasons
Following
Year
1,000 Cwt
1,000 Cwt
Percent
1,000 Cwt
Percent
1,000 Cwt
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
413,581
410,588
410,253
382,743
398,921
409,221
Crop
Year
To
Dec 1
Million Cwt
2004
2005
2006
2007
1
1
15.5
12.7
13.2
13.9
378,796
371,755
369,781
351,083
365,863
91.6
90.5
90.1
91.7
91.7
34,785
38,833
40,472
31,660
33,058
8.4
9.5
9.9
8.3
8.3
Potatoes: Shrinkage and Loss, 13 Fall Storage States, 2004-2007
To
To
To
To
To
Jan 1
Feb 1
Mar 1
Apr 1
May 1
Million Cwt
19.1
15.0
16.1
Million Cwt
22.0
16.8
18.4
Million Cwt
24.8
18.4
20.4
Million Cwt
27.3
20.2
22.3
Million Cwt
29.7
22.0
24.0
28,149
26,687
24,768
25,659
26,437
Total
Jun 1
Season
Million Cwt
Million Cwt
32.5
23.7
25.5
35.4
26.4
27.8
15 Fall Storage States.
2007 Potato Objective Yield Data
The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted potato objective yield surveys in the 7 major fall
producing States in 2007. These 7 States account for 84 percent of the fall potato production. Sample plots
were located in potato fields that were selected on a random basis using a scientifically designed sampling
procedure. Field workers recorded counts and measurements. Survey data from the objective yield counts
are presented in the following two tables and are provided to show information about the crop and trends in
production.
Potato Stocks
December 2007
12
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
Fall Potatoes: Harvest Loss by Type, Seven Objective
Yield States, 2006-2007 1 2
State
Crop
Year
ID
2006
2007
ME
2006
2007
MN
2006
2007
ND
2006
2007
OR
Reds
Whites
Yellows 3
Russets
All Types
Cwt per Acre
Cwt per Acre
Cwt per Acre
Cwt per Acre
Cwt per Acre
31
26
30
27
20
18
23
16
21
17
10
10
28
15
24
30
20
21
13
17
21
22
38
34
28
27
2006
2007
18
44
36
29
34
30
WA
2006
2007
15
14
20
20
19
19
WI
2006
2007
10
13
13
11
14
11
1
2
3
24
Potatoes left in the field at time of harvest. Based on counts in potato fields selected for postharvest samples.
Missing data represents insufficient number of samples.
Field counts began in 2007.
Fall Potatoes: Number of Hills by Type, Seven Objective
Yield States, 2006-2007 1 2
Reds
Whites
Yellows 3
State
ID
Crop
Year
Number
of
Samples
Avg No.
Hills
per Acre
Number
of
Samples
Avg No.
Hills
per Acre
Number
of
Samples
Russets
Avg No.
Hills
per Acre
Number
of
Samples
Avg No.
Hills
per Acre
2006
2007
6
3
13,811
17,356
4
8
12,019
14,131
4
13,626
276
264
12,480
12,134
2006
2007
5
6
14,532
12,874
70
63
12,689
13,098
11
13,418
64
68
10,208
9,629
MN
2006
2007
36
43
12,331
12,936
10
5
12,158
11,070
84
82
12,498
12,293
ND
2006
2007
21
29
11,257
10,741
42
23
10,511
11,367
78
81
11,977
12,105
OR
2006
2007
21
25
14,496
14,051
95
91
13,239
12,409
ME
3
13,042
WA
2006
2007
13
6
16,358
16,271
27
18
13,801
14,292
151
154
14,409
15,087
WI
2006
2007
13
11
15,372
14,950
36
34
14,717
13,823
73
77
12,973
12,875
1
2
3
Based on row measurements and counts in potato fields selected for objective yield samples.
Missing data represents insufficient number of samples.
Field counts began in 2007.
Potato Stocks
December 2007
13
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
Potato Size and Grade
Size and grade measurements came from potatoes harvested in the objective yield survey sample plots.
Potatoes were harvested from six hills per sample randomly selected in each State using a scientifically
designed sampling procedure. Potatoes were sent to laboratories for sizing and grading according to
accepted U.S. fresh grading standards. The following tables contain percent measurements as they actually
occurred.
Type
and
State
Fall Potatoes: Grading Categories by Type and State,
2006-2007 1
No. 2 or
No. 1
Processing Usable
Cull 4
2
2 Inch Minimum
3
1 1/2 Inch Minimum
Total
2006
2007
2006
2007
2006
2007
2006
2007
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Round Red
Potatoes
MN
ND 5
WI 5
66.3
77.9
70.2
79.8
24.5
17.3
23.2
18.8
9.2
4.8
6.6
1.4
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
78.1
89.1
67.5
90.0
77.6
9.6
8.7
17.7
8.9
20.9
12.3
2.2
14.8
1.1
1.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Round White
Potatoes
ME 6
ND 5
WA 5
WI
80.5
19.2
0.3
100.0
Yellow
Potatoes 7
ME 6
12.2
82.0
100.0
5.8
Long
Potatoes:
(Russet
and
Shepody)
ID 8
ME 6
MN
ND
OR
WA
WI
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
77.0
62.9
70.7
65.8
75.3
80.2
80.8
71.9
68.8
73.1
70.9
73.4
76.0
83.0
21.8
20.3
19.9
23.1
23.7
18.0
18.3
27.1
18.6
19.4
21.1
24.9
22.1
16.0
1.2
16.8
9.4
11.1
1.0
1.8
0.9
1.0
12.6
7.5
8.0
1.7
1.9
1.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Gross yield basis.
Potatoes which meet the requirements for US #1, as stated in United States Standards for Grades of Potatoes, United States
Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Marketing Service.
Potatoes which meet the requirements for US #2, as stated in United States Standards for Grades of Potatoes, United States
Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Marketing Service.
Potatoes not meeting the requirements for US #1 or US #2, as stated in United States Standards for Grades of Potatoes, United
States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Marketing Service.
For 2006, data were not published due to insufficient number of samples.
Percent of net yield - adjusted for field loss.
Lab counts began in 2007.
Russets only.
Potato Stocks
December 2007
14
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
Year
Type
State
and
Round Potatoes: Size Categories by Type and State,
2006-2007 1
Inches
1 1/2
1 7/8
1 7/8
2
2
2 1/4
2 1/4
2 1/2
2 1/2
3 1/2
3 1/2
4
4 Inch
and
over
Total
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
2006
Red
Potatoes
MN
ND 2
WI 2
5.2
3.4
12.8
19.9
57.1
1.2
0.4
100.0
2.1
10.8
18.5
63.7
4.2
0.7
100.0
3.0
2.8
8.6
13.4
62.8
8.1
1.3
100.0
5.7
7.4
7.9
4.3
6.0
5.8
14.3
13.9
16.0
22.3
18.5
20.4
52.7
50.1
44.6
0.5
4.1
5.3
0.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
0.9
6.6
3.2
3.1
1.3
7.6
2.5
3.2
10.5
16.1
8.5
9.9
20.8
23.9
11.7
14.5
60.7
41.7
61.5
64.8
4.9
2.6
10.9
4.2
0.9
1.5
1.7
0.3
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
1.5
2.5
8.4
12.5
65.5
9.6
White
Potatoes
ME 3
WA 2
WI
Yellow
Potatoes 4
ME 3
2007
Red
Potatoes
MN
ND
WI
White
Potatoes
ME 3
ND
WA
WI
Yellow
Potatoes 4
ME 3
1
2
3
4
100.0
Gross yield basis.
For 2006, data were not published due to insufficient number of samples.
Percent of net yield - adjusted for field loss.
Lab counts began in 2007.
Potato Stocks
December 2007
15
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
Long Potatoes (Russet & Shepody): Size Categories
Maine, 2006-2007 1
Ounce
Inches
Crop
Year
1 1/2
1 7/8
1 7/8
2
2 in.
or
4-6
6-8
8-10
10-12
12-14
14
and
Over
Total
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
2006
5.5
6.3
32.7
18.6
13.4
8.3
5.5
9.7
100.0
2007
6.3
5.4
33.6
20.7
14.6
7.9
5.6
5.9
100.0
1
Percent of net yield - adjusted for field loss.
State
and
Year
Long Potatoes (Russet & Shepody): Size Categories
by State, 2006-2007 1
Ounce
Inches
1 1/2
1 5/8
1 5/8
1 7/8
1 7/8
2
2 in.
or
4-6
Percent
Percent
Percent
Percent
1.6
1.5
1.0
1.7
0.9
0.8
6.8
6.3
6.6
5.3
4.3
5.2
3.6
5.4
4.8
3.1
2.5
4.5
26.1
25.8
28.0
21.9
23.6
28.1
9.6
10.8
10.8
8.4
9.0
11.2
9.0
9.5
9.1
9.8
9.6
9.1
7.0
8.5
8.4
7.7
8.7
8.3
6.4
6.6
6.3
6.7
7.3
7.6
5.3
5.3
5.2
7.1
6.2
5.3
4.7
4.6
4.7
4.9
5.2
4.4
3.5
3.1
3.8
3.9
4.5
4.3
3.1
3.3
2.3
3.6
2.7
2.7
13.3
9.3
9.0
15.9
15.5
8.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
1.9
1.3
0.8
1.3
0.9
0.3
6.5
5.2
6.5
4.2
3.8
4.4
3.8
4.9
3.5
3.3
2.9
3.6
22.8
22.3
25.8
21.5
22.0
23.7
10.0
11.0
11.8
9.3
9.5
10.3
9.1
10.8
10.2
8.5
9.1
8.3
7.2
7.9
9.4
8.6
8.2
9.3
6.2
7.1
8.1
6.7
7.5
8.2
5.9
6.1
5.9
6.3
6.6
5.4
5.3
5.9
5.1
5.6
5.8
5.0
4.1
3.4
3.5
5.1
4.7
3.3
2.9
3.4
2.2
3.6
3.8
3.2
14.3
10.7
7.2
16.0
15.2
15.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
and
Over
Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent
Total
Percent
2006
ID 2
MN
ND
OR
WA
WI
2007
ID 2
MN
ND
OR
WA
WI
1
2
Gross yield basis.
Russets only.
Potato Stocks
December 2007
16
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
Fall Potatoes: Farm Marketings, Selected States and United States,
2004-2006 Marketing Years
State
Marketing
Year
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent
CA
2004
2005
2006
8
4
9
9
14
15
21
22
11
13
10
15
8
11
10
14
12
11
12
12
12
7
8
9
8
7
5
3
5
5
6
7
8
7
9
10
9
10
10
9
10
10
10
8
8
9
12
11
10
10
10
11
11
12
11
11
10
11
7
6
7
CO
2004
2005
2006
ID
2004
2005
2006
6
2
3
9
11
11
10
13
12
11
8
8
7
7
7
6
8
8
6
7
8
9
11
10
10
10
10
9
10
9
10
6
7
7
7
7
2004
2005
2006
1
9
5
8
6
11
7
7
8
8
10
9
9
10
10
9
10
9
8
11
12
13
15
15
13
10
10
12
7
6
7
4
5
6
1
1
1
10
8
9
11
11
12
11
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
12
11
12
12
8
10
7
10
10
11
9
8
7
5
3
4
8
6
7
8
4
7
6
7
7
6
15
7
7
12
8
8
12
9
13
14
11
7
9
10
9
3
10
10
6
11
9
5
5
9
7
8
2004
2005
2006
4
2
4
16
14
15
19
14
14
16
12
12
13
13
14
10
10
16
9
12
7
8
14
10
5
7
4
2
4
2004
2005
2006
1
2
3
20
25
27
9
13
11
6
5
6
6
9
6
8
9
11
7
9
5
11
8
7
11
10
10
7
7
9
8
2
4
6
1
1
2004
2005
2006
12
17
12
11
10
10
16
13
13
8
5
5
6
7
7
4
5
7
9
8
7
10
9
10
9
10
10
8
8
8
4
4
7
3
4
4
18
16
15
8
15
8
6
5
6
2
18
14
15
14
13
11
21
23
25
6
7
7
5
6
6
5
4
5
7
6
7
6
7
6
6
7
6
6
7
6
5
5
5
1
1
1
6
6
6
14
16
15
12
11
10
12
10
10
9
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
11
10
11
10
8
10
6
8
6
2
2
3
9
7
7
11
12
12
13
14
14
9
8
8
7
8
7
7
7
8
7
8
8
9
10
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
7
5
6
ME
MI
2004
2005
2006
MN
2004
2005
2006
NY
ND
OR
PA 1
2004
2005
2006
1
WA
2004
2005
2006
WI
2004
2005
2006
1
1
US
2004
2005
2006
1
4
4
4
Farm Marketing estimates discontinued in 2005.
Potato Stocks
December 2007
17
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
December Potato Stocks Up 4 Percent from Last Year
The 13 major potato States held 270 million cwt of potatoes in storage December 1, 2007, up 4 percent from
last year and 6 percent above December 1, 2005. Potatoes in storage account for 68 percent of the 2007 fall
storage States’ production, up 1 percentage point from last year. Klamath Basin stocks total 4.20 million cwt
on December 1, 2007, up 5 percent from last year. Klamath Basin includes California and Klamath County,
Oregon potato stocks.
Disappearance of 130 million cwt from the start of harvest to December 1, is virtually unchanged from last
year but up 8 percent from 2005. Shrink and loss, at 13.9 million cwt, is up 5 percent from the previous year
and 9 percent above the same date in 2005.
Processors have used 72.0 million cwt of 2007 crop potatoes so far this season, down 3 percent from a year
ago but 10 percent above 2 years ago. Idaho and Malheur County, Oregon total processing decreased
3 percent from a year ago, Maine’s total processing was 3 percent below the same date in 2006, and
Washington and the rest of Oregon total processing was down 6 percent from last season. Dehydrating
usage accounts for 12.7 million cwt of the total processing, down 13 percent from last year but 7 percent
above the same date in 2005.
Western States held 193 million cwt of potatoes in storage on December 1, up 9 percent from last year and
8 percent above 2005. Idaho’s potato stocks are up 4 percent from last year, Washington’s potato sheds held
22 percent more than last year, and Oregon’s stocks increased 13 percent from last season. Montana’s
potato sheds held 9 percent more stocks than last year and California’s potato stocks increased 11 percent
from last season. Colorado’s potato stocks declined 12 percent from last year.
Central States accounted for 61.7 million cwt of potato stocks on December 1, down 4 percent from last year
but 3 percent above the same date in 2005. Wisconsin’s potato stocks declined 5 percent from last year,
North Dakotas’s sheds held 16 percent less, and potato stocks in Nebraska are 10 percent below last season.
Minnesota’s potato stocks are up 2 percent from last year and Michigan’s potato sheds held 17 percent more
than on the same date in 2006.
Eastern States stored 15.5 million cwt of potatoes on December 1, down 11 percent from last year but up
1 percent from December 1, 2005. Maine’s potato sheds held 12 percent less than last year, while New
York’s potato stocks declined 7 percent from a year ago.
Potato Stocks
December 2007
18
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
Fall Potato Production Up Less than 1 Percent from November
Production of fall potatoes for 2007 is forecast at 409 million cwt, up less than 1 percent from last month and
3 percent above last year. Area harvested, at 997,600 acres, is virtually unchanged from November but up
1 percent from last year. The average yield is forecast at 410 cwt per acre, up 1 cwt from last month and 4
cwt above the record high set last year.
Western States production is forecast at 288 million cwt, up 6 percent from last year. Area harvested, at
642,000 acres, increased 4 percent from last year, and the average yield of 449 cwt per acre is up 6 cwt from
2006. Idaho’s yield is forecast at 377 cwt per acre. If realized this would be the second highest yield on
record, 9 cwt below the record yield set in 2006. Hot weather during the summer reduced the quality of the
crop. Incidences of the Potato Virus Y were more frequent than normal which adversely affected yields. In
Washington, harvest progressed normally this year. The quality of the crop is acceptable but not as good as
in previous years. In Colorado, a severe wind storm followed by a late freeze in mid-June damaged plants
that were already emerged. The earlier planted crop was slow to recover from the damage, leading to
increased yield variability. Oregon’s crop progressed at a normal pace with no major problems reported. In
California, favorable weather conditions resulted in excellent crop quality and yields.
Central States production is forecast at 96.0 million cwt, down 3 percent from last year. Harvested area, at
267,000 acres, is down 4 percent, while the average yield, at 359 cwt per acre, is up 2 cwt from a year ago.
Overall, the Wisconsin crop progressed ahead of normal. Growers reported a good quality crop with harvest
completed on time or early. In North Dakota, crop condition was rated fair to good throughout the growing
season. Michigan and Minnesota’s yields are forecast at 350 and 440 cwt per acre, respectively. If realized,
these would be record high yields.
Eastern States production is forecast at 24.9 million cwt, down 9 percent from last year. Area for harvest
totaled 88,600 acres, 3 percent below last year, while the average yield, at 281 cwt per acre, is down 18 cwt
from last season. In Maine, excellent growing and harvesting conditions resulted in a high yielding, high
quality crop. In Massachusetts and Rhode Island, above average temperatures and below average
precipitation forced growers in many locations to irrigate. New York planted acreage is at the lowest level
since estimates began in 1929.
Potato Stocks
December 2007
19
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
Reliability of December 1 Stocks Estimates
To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the December 1 stocks estimate, the “Root Mean Square
Error,” a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the December
1 stocks estimate and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of
squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average
becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error.” Probability statements can be made concerning
expected differences in the current estimate relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors
affecting this year’s estimate are not different from those influencing recent years.
The “Root Mean Square Error” for the December 1 stocks estimate is 2.4 percent. This means that chances
are 2 out of 3 that the current estimate of 270 million cwt will not be above or below the final estimate by
more than 2.4 percent or approximately 6.48 million cwt. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence
level) that the difference will not exceed 4.1 percent or approximately 11.1 million cwt.
The 20-year (1987-2006) record of differences between the December 1 stocks estimates and the final
estimates averaged 4.20 million cwt, ranging from 7.77 million cwt above the final to 14.5 million cwt
below the final. During the 20-year period, the December 1 estimate has been below the final estimate 16
years and above 4 years.
Reliability of December 1 Fall Potato Estimates
Root Mean
20-Year Record of Difference
Square Error
Between December 1 and Final Estimate
90% Confidence
Level
Estimate
Percent
Percent
Stocks
Production
Crop
Year
2.4
1.5
Quantity
Avg
Small
Large
Million Cwt
Million Cwt
Million Cwt
Million Cwt
4.1
2.7
11.07
11.05
4.20
4.38
Potato Stocks
December 2007
0.11
0.05
14.50
13.46
Fall Potato Stocks: Preliminary and Final December 1 Stocks,
United States, 1997-2007
Preliminary
% of
Stocks
Final
1,000 Cwt
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Number
of Years
Quantity
Percent
274,250
281,020
274,870
309,520
266,520
265,190
267,160
271,600
253,400
252,300
270,000
16
15
Above
Final
4
5
Final
Stocks
1,000 Cwt
98.4
100.0
99.9
99.7
103.0
100.3
99.7
100.2
99.8
97.3
20
Below
Final
278,830
280,910
275,100
310,300
258,750
264,485
267,900
271,100
253,800
259,300
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA
ACCESS TO REPORTS!!
For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services:
INTERNET ACCESS
All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and
go to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov.
E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION
All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. Starting with the
NASS Home Page at www.nass.usda.gov, under the right navigation, Receive reports by Email, click on
National or State. Follow the instructions on the screen.
--------------------------------PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS
CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada)
Other areas, please call 703-605-6220
FAX: 703-605-6900
(Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.)
---------------------------------ASSISTANCE
For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services,
contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail:
nass@nass.usda.gov.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the
basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, and where applicable, sex, marital status, familial status,
parental status, religion, sexual orientation, genetic information, political beliefs, reprisal, or because all or a part
of an individual’s income is derived from any public assistance program. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all
programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information
(Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA’s TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and
TDD).
To file a complaint of discrimination, write to USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, 1400 Independence
Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, or call (800) 795-3272 (voice) or (202) 720-6382 (TDD). USDA
is an equal opportunity provider and employer.
Energizing Rural America
in the Global Marketplace
Please join us for USDA’s 84 annual Forum as the Secretary of Agriculture and
government, farm, and industry leaders discuss the future of American
agriculture.
Register no
th
More than 100 experts are scheduled to speak.
Topical sessions include luncheon and dinner speakers.
Extensive networking opportunities.
Forecasts • Trends • Policies
Register at: www.usda.gov/oce/forum for $300
File Type | application/pdf |
File Title | Potato Stocks 12/14/2007 |
Author | USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service |
File Modified | 2007-12-14 |
File Created | 2007-12-14 |